1. SNL · Regular Season - 12
Maribor 0–0 Celje
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Ljudski vrt, Maribor
MariborTeam 1573CeljeTeam 1717We gave Celje 41% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 51'L. Bejger –Celje:L. Bejger –
- B. Feta – for Z. Repas –67'Maribor:B. Feta – for Z. Repas –
- 67'B. Kramer – for A. Kucys –Celje:B. Kramer – for A. Kucys –
- Z. Jevsenak – for C. Goncalves –68'Maribor:Z. Jevsenak – for C. Goncalves –
- 75'S. Seslar –Celje:S. Seslar –
- 78'A. Dionkou – for M. Ivansek –Celje:A. Dionkou – for M. Ivansek –
- 79'V. Tusha – for B. Verbic –Celje:V. Tusha – for B. Verbic –
- D. Vizinger – for L. Zahovic –85'Maribor:D. Vizinger – for L. Zahovic –
- V. Koderman – for C. Bumbic –85'Maribor:V. Koderman – for C. Bumbic –
- N. Viher – for N. Osterc –86'Maribor:N. Viher – for N. Osterc –
Before kick-off (provisional): 30% · 29% · 41%(Maribor · draw · Celje)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Maribor €505K, Celje €778K.
- A. Jug, T. Cipot, D. Pejičić, L. Krajnc, Č. Bumbić, B. M'bondo and D. Vizinger (Maribor) had not played for over 90 days.
- L. Kolar (Celje) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Maribor
1st in 1. SNL · 23 pts from 11
- 3 MayLRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1588
- 20 MarDAluminij Slovenia 1 SNL1630
- 14 MarWMura Slovenia 1 SNL1612
- 8 MarDOlimpija Ljubljana Slovenia 1 SNL1602
- 28 FebDRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1595
Celje
6th in 1. SNL · 15 pts from 10
- 15 OctLOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League1760
- 16 SepLBayer Leverkusen UEFA Europa League1757
- 26 AugDSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League1697
- 19 AugDSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League1701
- 11 AugWArarat-Armenia UEFA Champions League1733
Season outlook
From the 1. SNL simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maribor | 23 /11 | 59.4 | 49% | 98% | <1% | 1st |
| Celje | 15 /10 | 57.1 | 33% | 97% | <1% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 9th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Maribor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1668
Celje · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1940
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –