1. Lig · Regular Season - 14
Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Mardin 1969 host Batman Petrolspor on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mardin 1969 39%, draw 29%, Batman Petrolspor 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mardin 1969 €534K, Batman Petrolspor €445K.
- Home advantage makes Mardin 1969 the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- All 11 of Mardin 1969's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mardin 1969 goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Mardin 1969 1650 · Batman Petrolspor 1699
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mardin 1969 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1878
Batman Petrolspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1703
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mardin 1969
6th in 1. Lig · 18 pts from 11
- 19 OctLEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1667
- 15 OctWFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1716
- 11 OctWBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1687
- 20 SepLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1681
- 13 SepLIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1605
Batman Petrolspor
5th in 1. Lig · 20 pts from 11
- 18 OctDKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1671
- 14 OctWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1651
- 10 OctLIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1673
- 19 SepLBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1706
- 12 SepLBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1696
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mardin 1969 | 18 /11 | 56.2 | <1% | 16% | <1% | 6th |
| Batman Petrolspor | 20 /11 | 60.7 | 1% | 39% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –