1. Lig · Regular Season - 15
Mardin 1969 vs Bandırmaspor
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Mardin 1969 host Bandırmaspor on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mardin 1969 51%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mardin 1969 €596K, Bandırmaspor €232K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (1. Lig): Mardin 1969 rank #21 of 21, Bandırmaspor #3.
- All 11 of Mardin 1969's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mardin 1969 goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–012%
- 2–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Mardin 1969 1688 · Bandırmaspor 1593
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mardin 1969 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1856
Bandırmaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1578
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mardin 1969
4th in 1. Lig · 25 pts from 14
- 8 NovDBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1754
- 1 NovWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1738
- 26 OctWManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1721
- 19 OctLEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1663
- 15 OctWFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1716
Bandırmaspor
15th in 1. Lig · 14 pts from 14
- 8 NovLFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1602
- 31 OctLBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1624
- 24 OctLIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1541
- 17 OctLBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1636
- 13 OctDSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1606
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mardin 1969 | 25 /14 | 60.6 | 1% | 35% | 0% | 4th |
| Bandırmaspor | 14 /14 | 42.9 | 0% | <1% | 21% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mardin 1969: low-block · low-volume (how Ahmet Cingoz plays) · Bandırmaspor: balanced profile (how Ertugrul Arslan plays)