Serie B · Regular Season - 9
Mantova vs Cremonese
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Mantova host Cremonese on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mantova 36%, draw 29%, Cremonese 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mantova €929K, Cremonese €1.8M.
- Home advantage makes Mantova the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mantova goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Mantova 1749 · Cremonese 1829
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mantova · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1881
Cremonese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1866
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mantova
2nd in Serie B · 14 pts from 7
- 17 OctLPalermo Italy Serie B1801
- 11 OctWCatanzaro Italy Serie B1757
- 20 SepDPisa Italy Serie B1763
- 13 SepWSampdoria Italy Serie B1731
- 6 SepDCesena Italy Serie B1694
Cremonese
16th in Serie B · 6 pts from 7
- 17 OctLPisa Italy Serie B1792
- 10 OctDArezzo Italy Serie B1844
- 19 SepDVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1806
- 12 SepDCesena Italy Serie B1809
- 6 SepWPadova Italy Serie B1787
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova | 14 /7 | 60.3 | 2% | 49% | <1% | 2nd |
| Cremonese | 6 /7 | 57.3 | 1% | 32% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mantova: possession-based (how Francesco Modesto plays) · Cremonese: balanced profile (how Fabio Pecchia plays)