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Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 2

Manta FC 1–0 Tecnico Universitario

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Jocay, Manta

Manta FC crestManta FCTeam 1402
1–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Tecnico Universitario crestTecnico UniversitarioTeam 1429

Match story

Manta FC · draw · Tecnico Universitario

Before kick-off: 38% · 31% · 31%

Live chances: Manta FC 100%, draw 0%, Tecnico Universitario 0% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Manta FC 38%, draw 31%, Tecnico Universitario 31%2' · 0–0 · Manta FC 38%, draw 31%, Tecnico Universitario 31%3' · 0–0 · Manta FC 38%, draw 31%, Tecnico Universitario 31%4' · 0–0 · Manta FC 38%, draw 31%, Tecnico Universitario 31%5' · 0–0 · Manta FC 38%, draw 31%, Tecnico Universitario 31%6' · 0–0 · Manta FC 38%, draw 32%, Tecnico Universitario 31%7' · 0–0 · Manta FC 38%, draw 32%, Tecnico Universitario 31%8' · 0–0 · Manta FC 37%, draw 32%, Tecnico Universitario 31%9' · 0–0 · Manta FC 37%, draw 32%, Tecnico Universitario 31%10' · 0–0 · Manta FC 37%, draw 32%, Tecnico Universitario 31%11' · 0–0 · Manta FC 37%, draw 32%, Tecnico Universitario 31%12' · 0–0 · Manta FC 37%, draw 32%, Tecnico Universitario 31%13' · 0–0 · Manta FC 37%, draw 33%, Tecnico Universitario 30%14' · 0–0 · Manta FC 37%, draw 33%, Tecnico Universitario 30%15' · 0–0 · Manta FC 37%, draw 33%, Tecnico Universitario 30%16' · 0–0 · Manta FC 36%, draw 33%, Tecnico Universitario 30%17' · 0–0 · Manta FC 36%, draw 33%, Tecnico Universitario 30%18' · 0–0 · Manta FC 36%, draw 34%, Tecnico Universitario 30%19' · 0–0 · Manta FC 36%, draw 34%, Tecnico Universitario 30%20' · 0–0 · Manta FC 36%, draw 34%, Tecnico Universitario 30%21' · 0–0 · Manta FC 36%, draw 34%, Tecnico Universitario 30%22' · 0–0 · Manta FC 36%, draw 34%, Tecnico Universitario 30%23' · 0–0 · Manta FC 36%, draw 35%, Tecnico Universitario 30%24' · 0–0 · Manta FC 35%, draw 35%, Tecnico Universitario 30%25' · 0–0 · Manta FC 35%, draw 35%, Tecnico Universitario 30%26' · 0–0 · Manta FC 35%, draw 35%, Tecnico Universitario 29%27' · 0–0 · Manta FC 35%, draw 36%, Tecnico Universitario 29%29' · 0–0 · Manta FC 35%, draw 36%, Tecnico Universitario 29%30' · 0–0 · Manta FC 35%, draw 36%, Tecnico Universitario 29%31' · 0–0 · Manta FC 34%, draw 37%, Tecnico Universitario 29%32' · 0–0 · Manta FC 34%, draw 37%, Tecnico Universitario 29%33' · 0–0 · Manta FC 34%, draw 37%, Tecnico Universitario 29%34' · 0–0 · Manta FC 34%, draw 37%, Tecnico Universitario 29%35' · 0–0 · Manta FC 34%, draw 38%, Tecnico Universitario 29%36' · 0–0 · Manta FC 34%, draw 38%, Tecnico Universitario 28%37' · 0–0 · Manta FC 33%, draw 38%, Tecnico Universitario 28%38' · 0–0 · Manta FC 33%, draw 39%, Tecnico Universitario 28%39' · 0–0 · Manta FC 33%, draw 39%, Tecnico Universitario 28%40' · 0–0 · Manta FC 33%, draw 39%, Tecnico Universitario 28%41' · 1–0 · Manta FC 71%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 8%42' · 1–0 · Manta FC 71%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 8%43' · 1–0 · Manta FC 71%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 8%44' · 1–0 · Manta FC 71%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 7%45' · 1–0 · Manta FC 71%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 7%45+1' · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 7%45+2' · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 7%45+3' · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 7%45+4' · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 7%HT · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 7%46' · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 7%47' · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 7%48' · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 6%49' · 1–0 · Manta FC 73%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 6%50' · 1–0 · Manta FC 73%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 6%51' · 1–0 · Manta FC 73%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 6%52' · 1–0 · Manta FC 73%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 6%53' · 1–0 · Manta FC 74%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 6%54' · 1–0 · Manta FC 74%, draw 20%, Tecnico Universitario 5%55' · 1–0 · Manta FC 74%, draw 20%, Tecnico Universitario 5%56' · 1–0 · Manta FC 75%, draw 20%, Tecnico Universitario 5%57' · 1–0 · Manta FC 75%, draw 20%, Tecnico Universitario 5%58' · 1–0 · Manta FC 75%, draw 20%, Tecnico Universitario 5%59' · 1–0 · Manta FC 76%, draw 20%, Tecnico Universitario 5%60' · 1–0 · Manta FC 76%, draw 20%, Tecnico Universitario 4%61' · 1–0 · Manta FC 76%, draw 19%, Tecnico Universitario 4%62' · 1–0 · Manta FC 77%, draw 19%, Tecnico Universitario 4%63' · 1–0 · Manta FC 77%, draw 19%, Tecnico Universitario 4%64' · 1–0 · Manta FC 77%, draw 19%, Tecnico Universitario 4%65' · 1–0 · Manta FC 78%, draw 19%, Tecnico Universitario 4%66' · 1–0 · Manta FC 68%, draw 25%, Tecnico Universitario 7%67' · 1–0 · Manta FC 69%, draw 25%, Tecnico Universitario 6%68' · 1–0 · Manta FC 70%, draw 24%, Tecnico Universitario 6%69' · 1–0 · Manta FC 70%, draw 24%, Tecnico Universitario 6%70' · 1–0 · Manta FC 71%, draw 24%, Tecnico Universitario 6%71' · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 23%, Tecnico Universitario 5%72' · 1–0 · Manta FC 72%, draw 23%, Tecnico Universitario 5%73' · 1–0 · Manta FC 73%, draw 22%, Tecnico Universitario 5%74' · 1–0 · Manta FC 74%, draw 22%, Tecnico Universitario 4%75' · 1–0 · Manta FC 75%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 4%76' · 1–0 · Manta FC 75%, draw 21%, Tecnico Universitario 4%77' · 1–0 · Manta FC 76%, draw 20%, Tecnico Universitario 4%78' · 1–0 · Manta FC 77%, draw 20%, Tecnico Universitario 3%79' · 1–0 · Manta FC 78%, draw 19%, Tecnico Universitario 3%80' · 1–0 · Manta FC 79%, draw 18%, Tecnico Universitario 3%81' · 1–0 · Manta FC 80%, draw 18%, Tecnico Universitario 2%82' · 1–0 · Manta FC 81%, draw 17%, Tecnico Universitario 2%83' · 1–0 · Manta FC 82%, draw 16%, Tecnico Universitario 2%84' · 1–0 · Manta FC 83%, draw 16%, Tecnico Universitario 2%85' · 1–0 · Manta FC 84%, draw 15%, Tecnico Universitario 2%86' · 1–0 · Manta FC 85%, draw 14%, Tecnico Universitario 1%87' · 1–0 · Manta FC 86%, draw 13%, Tecnico Universitario 1%88' · 1–0 · Manta FC 87%, draw 12%, Tecnico Universitario 1%89' · 1–0 · Manta FC 88%, draw 11%, Tecnico Universitario 1%90' · 1–0 · Manta FC 90%, draw 10%, Tecnico Universitario 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Manta FC 91%, draw 8%, Tecnico Universitario 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Manta FC 93%, draw 7%, Tecnico Universitario 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Manta FC 94%, draw 6%, Tecnico Universitario 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Manta FC 96%, draw 4%, Tecnico Universitario 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Manta FC 97%, draw 3%, Tecnico Universitario 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Manta FC 99%, draw 1%, Tecnico Universitario 0%90+7' · 1–0 · Manta FC 100%, draw 0%, Tecnico Universitario 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Manta FC 38% to win: they did.

  1. 28'Tecnico Universitario:Wagner Eriberto Caicedo Peralta 1373 −8*
  2. 40'Manta FC:Jostin Alman 1459 +31* assist J. Vergés 1380 +33*
  3. 45'Tecnico Universitario:Johan Bocanegra 1558 −12* for Luis Estupiñan 1613 −14*
  4. 52'Manta FC:Felix Alejandro Zambrano Santizaba 1486 +3*
  5. 59'Tecnico Universitario:Cesar Castano 1557 −11* for Adrian Cela 1524 −12*
  6. 64'Manta FC:Mateo Ortiz 1480 0*
  7. 70'Manta FC:Ángel Ledesma 1424 −9* for Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo 1430 +2*
  8. 70'Manta FC:Glendys Calos Mina 1463 −7* for J. Vergés 1380 +33*
  9. 72'Tecnico Universitario:Jonathan Alexis Majao Aguayo 1594 −18*
  10. 77'Tecnico Universitario:Luis Cordova 1384 −8* for Carlos Cuero 1463 −10*
  11. 77'Tecnico Universitario:Anthony Castilo 1237 −8* for E. Mesa 1584 −33*
  12. 80'Manta FC:Juan Jimenez 1385 +7*
  13. 81'Manta FC:Jefferson Nazareno 1353 −4* for Jefferson Troya 1435 +7*
  14. 81'Manta FC:Juan Nazareno 1421 −4* for José Monaga 1408 +8*
  15. 87'Tecnico Universitario:Carlos Ronny Estupiñán García 1124 −8* for Jonathan Alexis Majao Aguayo 1594 −18*
  16. 87'Manta FC:M. Valencia 1423 −7* for Juan Jimenez 1385 +7*
  17. 90+3'Manta FC:Ángel Ledesma 1424 −9*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2
GAyrton Morales1448−8*
DE. Mesa1584−33*
DJ. Anaya1597−19*
DS. Mena1422−11*
DC. Cuero1463−10*
ML. Estupiñán1613−14*
MJ. Majao1594−18*
MA. Cela1524−12*
MB. Delgado1519−15*
FW. Caicedo1373−8*
FD. Armas1200−17*
CIsmael Blanco1329−8*
Before kick-off: 38% · 31% · 31%(Manta FC · draw · Tecnico Universitario)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (15%); the result 1–0 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Manta FC €213K, Tecnico Universitario €266K.
  • Home advantage made Manta FC the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Liga Pro): Manta FC ranked #14 of 16, Tecnico Universitario #4.
  • All 11 of Manta FC's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Manta FC

16th in Liga Pro · 21 pts from 30

  • 21 SepWOrense SC 1409
  • 12 SepDAucas 1414
  • 8 SepLEmelec 1445
  • 2 SepLMacara 1427
  • 30 AugWBarcelona SC 1402

Tecnico Universitario

14th in Liga Pro · 32 pts from 30

  • 20 SepDDelfin SC 1525
  • 13 SepWLeones del Norte 1509
  • 5 SepLLDU de Quito 1524
  • 29 AugWDeportivo Cuenca 1479
  • 16 AugLEmelec 1500

Season outlook

From the Liga Pro simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Manta FC24 /3134.90%0%98%16th
Tecnico Universitario33 /3145.20%0%34%14th
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Pro

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Vergés
J. Vergés

Manta FC · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1347

L. Estupiñán
L. Estupiñán

Tecnico Universitario · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1627

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Ismael Blanco

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Manta FC: balanced profile (how Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier plays) · Tecnico Universitario: balanced profile (how Ismael Blanco plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.