Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 4
Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Jocay, Manta
Manta FC host Deportivo Cuenca on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Manta FC 34%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cuenca 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Manta FC €212K, Deportivo Cuenca €315K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Liga Pro): Manta FC rank #15 of 16, Deportivo Cuenca #2.
- All 11 of Manta FC's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Manta FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Manta FC 1432 · Deportivo Cuenca 1521
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Manta FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1371
Deportivo Cuenca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1571
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Manta FC
16th in Liga Pro · 21 pts from 30
- 18 OctLDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1434
- 10 OctWTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1429
- 21 SepWOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1409
- 12 SepDAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1414
- 8 SepLEmelec Ecuador Liga Pro1445
Deportivo Cuenca
12th in Liga Pro · 36 pts from 30
- 16 OctWTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1492
- 11 OctDOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1519
- 20 SepDMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1512
- 13 SepDLDU de Quito Ecuador Liga Pro1525
- 7 SepLLibertad Ecuador Liga Pro1532
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | 27 /33 | 35.3 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 16th |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 41 /33 | 51.1 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Manta FC: balanced profile (how Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier plays) · Deportivo Cuenca: balanced profile (how Andrés Roberto Yllana plays)