Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 7
Manta FC vs Delfin SC
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Jocay, Manta
Manta FC host Delfin SC on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Manta FC 41%, draw 29%, Delfin SC 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Manta FC €234K, Delfin SC €275K.
- Home advantage makes Manta FC the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Liga Pro): Manta FC rank #14 of 16, Delfin SC #1.
- All 11 of Manta FC's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Manta FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–011%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 2–08%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Manta FC 1429 · Delfin SC 1436
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Manta FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1357
Delfin SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1424
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Manta FC
16th in Liga Pro · 21 pts from 30
- 9 NovWTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1393
- 3 NovWMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1380
- 24 OctLDeportivo Cuenca Ecuador Liga Pro1417
- 18 OctLDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1424
- 10 OctWTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1420
Delfin SC
15th in Liga Pro · 28 pts from 30
- 9 NovLMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1426
- 31 OctWDeportivo Cuenca Ecuador Liga Pro1382
- 24 OctLOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1407
- 18 OctWManta FC Ecuador Liga Pro1408
- 9 OctWMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1365
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | 33 /36 | 37.8 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 16th |
| Delfin SC | 38 /36 | 42.9 | 0% | 0% | 71% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Manta FC: balanced profile (how Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier plays) · Delfin SC: direct (how J. León plays)