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League One · Regular Season - 11

Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Field Mill, Mansfield

Mansfield Town crestMansfield TownTeam 1788
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Oxford United crestOxford UnitedTeam 1787

We gave Mansfield Town 42% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 14'Mansfield Town:Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh 1869 −1
  2. 22'Oxford United:Peter Kioso 1930 +2
  3. 34'Oxford United:Luka Lynch 1262 +16 assist Siriki Dembele 1795 +7
  4. 45'Mansfield Town:Stephen McLaughlin 1753 −9 for George Abbott 1836 −1
  5. 54'Mansfield Town:Jonathan Russell 1884 −2
  6. 59'Oxford United:Gatlin O Donkor 1493 +2 for Louie Sibley 1777 +3
  7. 59'Oxford United:Mo Missanga 1688 +2 for Luka Lynch 1262 +16
  8. 61'Mansfield Town:Tyler Roberts 1731 −1 for Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh 1869 −1
  9. 72'Oxford United:Gatlin O Donkor 1493 +2
  10. 73'Mansfield Town:Regan·Hendry 1835 −2 for Jonathan Russell 1884 −2
  11. 73'Mansfield Town:Frazer Blake-Tracy 1808 −3 for Ryan Sweeney 1822 −2
  12. 75'Oxford United:Peter Kioso 1930 +2
  13. 77'Oxford United:Jack Currie 1897 0 for Mark Harris 1901 +2
  14. 79'Mansfield Town:George Maris 1682 −3 for Elliott Hewitt 1613 −4
  15. 80'Oxford United:Sam Long 1775 −3 for Siriki Dembele 1795 +7
  16. 82'Mansfield Town:Michael Smith 1597 −7
  17. 84'Oxford United:Gatlin O Donkor 1493 +2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-2-1-2Formations4-2-3-1
GL. Roberts1895−3
DE. Hewitt1613−4
DA. Oshilaja1764−5
DR. Sweeney1822−2
DN. Moriah-Welsh1869−1
ML. Reed1828−5
MG. Abbott1836−1
ML. Thompson1867−2
MJ. Russell1884−2
FR. Oates1802−4
FM. Smith1597−7
CN. Clough1802−1
GJ. Cumming1889+3
DP. Kioso1930+2
DM. Helik1903+5
DC. Brown2094+3
DB. Spencer1937+4
MC. Brannagan1952+4
ML. Sibley1777+3
ML. Lynch1262+16
MKai Andrews1720+4
MS. Dembélé1795+7
FM. Harris1901+2
CA. Ramsey1724+8
Before kick-off: 42% · 29% · 29%(Mansfield Town · draw · Oxford United)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Mansfield Town €499K, Oxford United €1.1M.
  • Home advantage made Mansfield Town the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
  • All 11 of Mansfield Town's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
  • Oxford United were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Mansfield Town

14th in League One · 11 pts from 8

  • 10 OctWBromley 1778
  • 6 OctLPort Vale 1684
  • 19 SepDBurton Albion 1741
  • 12 SepDHuddersfield 1730
  • 5 SepLBradford 1774

Oxford United

8th in League One · 14 pts from 7

  • 10 OctWNotts County 1831
  • 6 OctDExeter City 1627
  • 19 SepDCambridge United 1811
  • 12 SepWBurton Albion 1780
  • 5 SepWLeicester 1742

Season outlook

From the League One simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Mansfield Town11 /860.2<1%5%6%12th
Oxford United14 /772.413%50%<1%2nd
Mansfield Town
Oxford United

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League One

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

L. Reed
L. Reed

Mansfield Town · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1833

B. Spencer
B. Spencer

Oxford United · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1933

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Nigel Howard Clough

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Aaron James Ramsey

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Mansfield Town: balanced profile (how Nigel Howard Clough plays) · Oxford United: balanced profile (how Aaron James Ramsey plays)