League One · Regular Season - 14
Mansfield Town vs Notts County
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · One Call Stadium, Mansfield
Mansfield Town host Notts County on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mansfield Town 51%, draw 26%, Notts County 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mansfield Town €428K, Notts County €372K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (League One): Mansfield Town rank #23 of 24, Notts County #3.
- Notts County's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.3 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Mansfield Town's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mansfield Town goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Mansfield Town 1786 · Notts County 1677
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mansfield Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1828
Notts County · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1725
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mansfield Town
13th in League One · 12 pts from 9
- 15 OctDOxford United England League One1800
- 10 OctWBromley England League One1778
- 6 OctLPort Vale England EFL Trophy1684
- 19 SepDBurton Albion England League One1741
- 12 SepDHuddersfield England League One1730
Notts County
23rd in League One · 7 pts from 9
- 17 OctLWycombe England League One1705
- 13 OctWNottingham Forest U21 England EFL Trophy1616
- 10 OctLOxford United England League One1736
- 22 SepWGrimsby England EFL Trophy1520
- 19 SepLReading England League One1698
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 12 /9 | 59.4 | 1% | 4% | 6% | 13th |
| Notts County | 7 /9 | 46.6 | 0% | 0% | 56% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mansfield Town: balanced profile (how Nigel Howard Clough plays) · Notts County: possession-based · low-block (how Martin Andrew Paterson plays)