League One · Regular Season - 16
Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · One Call Stadium, Mansfield
Mansfield Town host Milton Keynes Dons on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mansfield Town 37%, draw 29%, Milton Keynes Dons 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mansfield Town €432K, Milton Keynes Dons €599K.
- Home advantage makes Mansfield Town the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- All 11 of Mansfield Town's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Milton Keynes Dons have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mansfield Town goals first.
- 1–114%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- 1–07%
- 2–27%
- 0–17%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Mansfield Town 1793 · Milton Keynes Dons 1864
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mansfield Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1669
Milton Keynes Dons · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1934
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mansfield Town
11th in League One · 19 pts from 13
- 3 NovDWigan England League One1809
- 31 OctLNotts County England League One1821
- 24 OctWBlackpool England League One1805
- 20 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1779
- 15 OctDOxford United England League One1787
Milton Keynes Dons
12th in League One · 18 pts from 13
- 10 NovWBromley England EFL Trophy1737
- 7 NovWSwindon Town England FA Cup1869
- 31 OctWDoncaster England League One1849
- 27 OctWBromley England League One1832
- 24 OctWStevenage England League One1804
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 19 /13 | 62.6 | <1% | 4% | 1% | 13th |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 18 /13 | 66.5 | 1% | 13% | <1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mansfield Town: balanced profile (how N. Clough plays) · Milton Keynes Dons: possession-based (how Paul Warne plays)