League One · Regular Season - 10
Mansfield Town 2–1 Bromley
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Field Mill, Mansfield
Mansfield TownTeam 1771BromleyTeam 1694We gave Mansfield Town 49% to win: they did.
- 13'Markus Ifill 1767 −14*Bromley:Markus Ifill 1767 −14*
- Stephen McLaughlin 1762 +20 assist Jonathan Russell 1886 +2522'Mansfield Town:Stephen McLaughlin 1762 +20 assist Jonathan Russell 1886 +25
- 30'John Joshua Mckiernan 1710 −15* assist Mitchell Pinnock 1729 −22*Bromley:John Joshua Mckiernan 1710 −15* assist Mitchell Pinnock 1729 −22*
- 32'John Joshua Mckiernan 1710 −15*Bromley:John Joshua Mckiernan 1710 −15*
- Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh 1870 +19* assist Michael Smith 1604 +52*49'Mansfield Town:Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh 1870 +19* assist Michael Smith 1604 +52*
- Liam Thompson 1869 −2*51'Mansfield Town:Liam Thompson 1869 −2*
- Regan·Hendry 1836 +3 for Liam Thompson 1869 −2*58'Mansfield Town:Regan·Hendry 1836 +3 for Liam Thompson 1869 −2*
- Louis Reed 1833 +860'Mansfield Town:Louis Reed 1833 +8
- 63'Jodi Jones 1827 −4 for corey whitely 1646 −14*Bromley:Jodi Jones 1827 −4 for corey whitely 1646 −14*
- Frazer Blake-Tracy 1811 +1 for Stephen McLaughlin 1762 +2064'Mansfield Town:Frazer Blake-Tracy 1811 +1 for Stephen McLaughlin 1762 +20
- 73'Nicke Kabamba 1522 −5 for Victor Adeboyejo 1740 −13*Bromley:Nicke Kabamba 1522 −5 for Victor Adeboyejo 1740 −13*
- 73'William Hondermarck 1740 −9* for Kamil Amadu Conteh 1607 −8*Bromley:William Hondermarck 1740 −9* for Kamil Amadu Conteh 1607 −8*
- 73'Michael Cheek 1651 −7 for John Joshua Mckiernan 1710 −15*Bromley:Michael Cheek 1651 −7 for John Joshua Mckiernan 1710 −15*
- 74'Mikel Miller 1777 −4 for Mitchell Pinnock 1729 −22*Bromley:Mikel Miller 1777 −4 for Mitchell Pinnock 1729 −22*
- Frazer Blake-Tracy 1811 +174'Mansfield Town:Frazer Blake-Tracy 1811 +1
- Tyler Roberts 1732 +6 for Rhys Oates 1806 +775'Mansfield Town:Tyler Roberts 1732 +6 for Rhys Oates 1806 +7
- George Abbott 1837 +2 for Louis Reed 1833 +875'Mansfield Town:George Abbott 1837 +2 for Louis Reed 1833 +8
- Kyle Knoyle 1829 −2 for Adedeji Oshilaja 1769 +989'Mansfield Town:Kyle Knoyle 1829 −2 for Adedeji Oshilaja 1769 +9
- 90+3'Nicke Kabamba 1522 −5Bromley:Nicke Kabamba 1522 −5
- 90+4'George Saville 1742 −18*Bromley:George Saville 1742 −18*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 49% · 27% · 24%(Mansfield Town · draw · Bromley)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Mansfield Town €444K, Bromley €334K.
- All 11 of Mansfield Town's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mansfield Town
17th in League One · 8 pts from 7
- 6 OctLPort Vale England EFL Trophy1684
- 19 SepDBurton Albion England League One1741
- 12 SepDHuddersfield England League One1730
- 5 SepLBradford England League One1774
- 2 SepLReading England League One1759
Bromley
19th in League One · 8 pts from 7
- 6 OctLCrawley Town England EFL Trophy1559
- 22 SepLBrentford U21 England EFL Trophy1667
- 19 SepWHuddersfield England League One1663
- 12 SepDBlackpool England League One1684
- 7 SepLAFC Wimbledon England League One1678
Season outlook
From the League One simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 8 /7 | 58.5 | <1% | 4% | 10% | 14th |
| Bromley | 8 /7 | 50.7 | 0% | <1% | 42% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mansfield Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1825
Bromley · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1753
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mansfield Town: balanced profile (how Nigel Howard Clough plays) · Bromley: direct (how Andrew John Woodman plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.