1. Lig · Regular Season - 15
Manisa F.K. vs Pendikspor
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu, Manisa
Manisa F.K. host Pendikspor on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Manisa F.K. 41%, draw 29%, Pendikspor 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Manisa F.K. €278K, Pendikspor €266K.
- Home advantage makes Manisa F.K. the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Manisa F.K. goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Manisa F.K. 1543 · Pendikspor 1568
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Manisa F.K. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1563
Pendikspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1545
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Manisa F.K.
17th in 1. Lig · 13 pts from 14
- 7 NovLKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1579
- 31 OctWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1517
- 26 OctLMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1553
- 19 OctLMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1526
- 15 OctDEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1544
Pendikspor
16th in 1. Lig · 14 pts from 14
- 7 NovLİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1563
- 31 OctWFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1537
- 25 OctDKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1574
- 19 OctLBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1541
- 13 OctLVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1554
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manisa F.K. | 13 /14 | 40.7 | 0% | <1% | 33% | 18th |
| Pendikspor | 14 /14 | 42.2 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block · low-volume
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Manisa F.K.: balanced profile (how Ahmet Pektas plays) · Pendikspor: balanced profile (how Murat Şahin plays)