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1. Lig · Regular Season - 11

Manisa F.K. 3–4 Muğlaspor

Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Manisa 19 Mayis, Manisa

Manisa F.K. crestManisa F.K.Team 1488
3–4
Full time
HT 2–3
Muğlaspor crestMuğlasporTeam 1531

Match story

Manisa F.K. · draw · Muğlaspor

Before kick-off: 39% · 30% · 31%

Live chances: Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 0%, Muğlaspor 100% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 31%2' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 31%3' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 31%4' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 31%5' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 31%6' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 31%7' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 31%8' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 30%, Muğlaspor 31%9' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 31%, Muğlaspor 31%10' · 0–0 · Manisa F.K. 39%, draw 31%, Muğlaspor 31%11' · 0–1 · Manisa F.K. 22%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 52%12' · 0–1 · Manisa F.K. 22%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 52%13' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 14%, Muğlaspor 80%14' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 14%, Muğlaspor 80%15' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 81%16' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 81%17' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 81%18' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 81%19' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 81%20' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 82%21' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 82%22' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 82%23' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 82%24' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 13%, Muğlaspor 82%25' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 12%, Muğlaspor 83%26' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 12%, Muğlaspor 83%27' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 12%, Muğlaspor 83%28' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 12%, Muğlaspor 83%29' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 12%, Muğlaspor 83%30' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 4%, draw 12%, Muğlaspor 84%31' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 4%, draw 12%, Muğlaspor 84%32' · 0–2 · Manisa F.K. 4%, draw 12%, Muğlaspor 84%33' · 0–3 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 4%, Muğlaspor 95%34' · 0–3 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 4%, Muğlaspor 96%35' · 0–3 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 4%, Muğlaspor 96%36' · 0–3 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 3%, Muğlaspor 96%37' · 0–3 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 3%, Muğlaspor 96%38' · 0–3 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 3%, Muğlaspor 96%39' · 0–3 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 3%, Muğlaspor 96%40' · 0–3 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 3%, Muğlaspor 96%41' · 1–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 10%, Muğlaspor 86%42' · 1–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 10%, Muğlaspor 86%43' · 1–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 10%, Muğlaspor 87%44' · 1–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 10%, Muğlaspor 87%45' · 1–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 10%, Muğlaspor 87%45+1' · 1–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 10%, Muğlaspor 87%45+2' · 1–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 10%, Muğlaspor 88%45+3' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 14%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 59%45+4' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 14%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 59%HT · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 14%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 59%46' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 14%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 59%47' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 13%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 60%48' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 13%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 60%49' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 13%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 60%50' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 13%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 61%51' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 12%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 61%52' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 12%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 61%53' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 12%, draw 27%, Muğlaspor 62%54' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 11%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 62%55' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 11%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 63%56' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 11%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 63%57' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 10%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 64%58' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 10%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 64%59' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 10%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 65%60' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 9%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 65%61' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 9%, draw 26%, Muğlaspor 66%62' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 9%, draw 25%, Muğlaspor 66%63' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 8%, draw 25%, Muğlaspor 67%64' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 8%, draw 25%, Muğlaspor 67%65' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 8%, draw 25%, Muğlaspor 68%66' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 7%, draw 25%, Muğlaspor 68%67' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 7%, draw 24%, Muğlaspor 69%68' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 7%, draw 24%, Muğlaspor 69%69' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 24%, Muğlaspor 70%70' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 23%, Muğlaspor 71%71' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 6%, draw 23%, Muğlaspor 71%72' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 23%, Muğlaspor 72%73' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 22%, Muğlaspor 72%74' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 22%, Muğlaspor 73%75' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 5%, draw 22%, Muğlaspor 74%76' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 4%, draw 21%, Muğlaspor 75%77' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 4%, draw 21%, Muğlaspor 75%78' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 4%, draw 20%, Muğlaspor 76%79' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 20%, Muğlaspor 77%80' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 19%, Muğlaspor 78%81' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 3%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 79%82' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 2%, draw 18%, Muğlaspor 80%83' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 2%, draw 17%, Muğlaspor 81%84' · 2–3 · Manisa F.K. 2%, draw 16%, Muğlaspor 82%85' · 2–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 1%, Muğlaspor 99%86' · 2–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 1%, Muğlaspor 99%87' · 2–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 1%, Muğlaspor 99%88' · 2–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 1%, Muğlaspor 99%89' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 2%, draw 15%, Muğlaspor 83%90' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 14%, Muğlaspor 85%90+1' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 12%, Muğlaspor 87%90+2' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 1%, draw 10%, Muğlaspor 89%90+3' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 8%, Muğlaspor 91%90+4' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 6%, Muğlaspor 94%90+5' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 4%, Muğlaspor 96%90+6' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 1%, Muğlaspor 99%90+7' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 0%, Muğlaspor 100%90+8' · 3–4 · Manisa F.K. 0%, draw 0%, Muğlaspor 100%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Manisa F.K. 39% to win: Muğlaspor won.

  1. 10'Muğlaspor:İ. Furat 1266
  2. 12'Muğlaspor:Ibrahim Sissoko 1619 assist Daniel Avramovski 1597
  3. 32'Muğlaspor:Ibrahim Sissoko 1619 (penalty missed)
  4. 32'Muğlaspor:Mamady·Diarra 1530
  5. 33'Manisa F.K.:Noha Lemina 1469 for Osman Kahraman 1273
  6. 40'Manisa F.K.:Julien Anziani 1601 (pen.)
  7. 45+2'Manisa F.K.:Yassine Benrahou 1598
  8. 56'Muğlaspor:Yiğit Fidan 1745
  9. 56'Manisa F.K.:Yassine Benrahou 1598
  10. 59'Manisa F.K.:Firat İnal 1033 for K. Yurdakul 1551
  11. 60'Manisa F.K.:Jonathan Lindseth 1662 for Birama Toure 1579
  12. 62'Muğlaspor:Ali·Barak 1309 for Oguzhan Matur 1434
  13. 62'Muğlaspor:Korede Osundina 1628 for İ. Furat 1266
  14. 73'Muğlaspor:Bilal Ceylan 1590 for Ahmet Engin 1621
  15. 73'Muğlaspor:Poyraz Yildirim 1581 for Ibrahim Sissoko 1619
  16. 82'Muğlaspor:Orhan Nahirci 1542 for Buluthan Bulut 1359
  17. 83'Manisa F.K.:Christophe Herelle 1611
  18. 84'Muğlaspor:Daniel Avramovski 1597 assist Mamady·Diarra 1530
  19. 86'Muğlaspor:Daniel Avramovski 1597
  20. 86'Muğlaspor:Luis Mago 1530
  21. 89'Manisa F.K.:Julien Anziani 1601 (pen.)
  22. 90+2'Muğlaspor:Ali Kaan Guneren 1620 (penalty missed)
  23. 90+8'Muğlaspor:Mamady·Diarra 1530

Line-ups

4-4-2Formations3-4-3
GE. Kılıçarslan1714
DB. Bulut1359
DYiğit Fidan1745
DL. Del Pino1530
MA. Engin1621
MD. Avramovski1597
MA. Güneren1620
MO. Matur1434
FM. Diarra1530
FI. Sissoko1619
Fİ. Furat1266
CY. Koşukavak1672
Before kick-off: 39% · 30% · 31%(Manisa F.K. · draw · Muğlaspor)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–4 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Manisa F.K. €365K, Muğlaspor €293K.
  • Home advantage made Manisa F.K. the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Manisa F.K.

14th in 1. Lig · 10 pts from 10

  • 15 OctDEsenler Erokspor 1552
  • 10 OctLKayserispor 1613
  • 20 SepLİstanbulspor 1631
  • 13 SepDFatih Karagümrük 1634
  • 7 SepLBursaspor 1643

Muğlaspor

13th in 1. Lig · 12 pts from 10

  • 15 OctLBursaspor 1557
  • 11 OctDFatih Karagümrük 1579
  • 18 SepDIğdır FK 1589
  • 13 SepDSivasspor 1553
  • 6 SepDVanspor FK 1551

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Manisa F.K.10 /1042.20%<1%26%17th
Muğlaspor12 /1044.60%1%16%16th
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

C. Hérelle
C. Hérelle

Manisa F.K. · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1611

L. Del Pino
L. Del Pino

Muğlaspor · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1530

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ahmet Pektas

Coach DNA: –

Yalçın Koşukavak

Coach DNA: balanced profile