1. Lig · Regular Season - 10
Manisa F.K. 1–1 Esenler Erokspor
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Manisa 19 Mayis, Manisa
Manisa F.K.Team 1512
Esenler EroksporTeam 1735Match story
Manisa F.K. · draw · Esenler EroksporBefore kick-off: 26% · 29% · 45%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Ada Ibik 80'
- Guélor Kanga 90+6' (pen)
We gave Esenler Erokspor 45% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 35'Nicolas Janvier 1768 −2
Esenler Erokspor:Nicolas Janvier 1768 −2 - 37'Pape Habib Gueye 1796 −1
Esenler Erokspor:Pape Habib Gueye 1796 −1 - K. Yurdakul 1551 +339'
Manisa F.K.:K. Yurdakul 1551 +3 - 57'Luccas Claro 1761 −7
Esenler Erokspor:Luccas Claro 1761 −7 - 63'Enes Alıç 1581 0
Esenler Erokspor:Enes Alıç 1581 0 - 68'Kubilay Kanatsızkuş 1664 −2 for Pape Habib Gueye 1796 −1
Esenler Erokspor:Kubilay Kanatsızkuş 1664 −2 for Pape Habib Gueye 1796 −1 - Yasin Güreler 1567 −7 for Osman Kaynak 1147 +774'
Manisa F.K.:Yasin Güreler 1567 −7 for Osman Kaynak 1147 +7 - 75'Altin Zeqiri 1860 −8* for Burak Coban 1723 −4
Esenler Erokspor:Altin Zeqiri 1860 −8* for Burak Coban 1723 −4 - 75'Yusuf Erdoğan 1670 −6 for Mame Mor Faye 1787 −1
Esenler Erokspor:Yusuf Erdoğan 1670 −6 for Mame Mor Faye 1787 −1 - Osman Kahraman 1273 +1 for Yusuf Talum 1652 +278'
Manisa F.K.:Osman Kahraman 1273 +1 for Yusuf Talum 1652 +2 - Ada Ibik 1560 +880'
Manisa F.K.:Ada Ibik 1560 +8 - 84'Recep Niyaz 1723 −3 for Mikail Okyar 1812 −2
Esenler Erokspor:Recep Niyaz 1723 −3 for Mikail Okyar 1812 −2 - 84'Ferhat Yazgan 1559 −6 for Nicolas Janvier 1768 −2
Esenler Erokspor:Ferhat Yazgan 1559 −6 for Nicolas Janvier 1768 −2 - Yunus Emre Dursun 1443 −8* for Yassine Benrahou 1598 +289'
Manisa F.K.:Yunus Emre Dursun 1443 −8* for Yassine Benrahou 1598 +2 - 90'Guélor Kanga 1695 −9
Esenler Erokspor:Guélor Kanga 1695 −9 - 90+6'Guélor Kanga 1695 −9 (pen.)
Esenler Erokspor:Guélor Kanga 1695 −9 (pen.)
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 26% · 29% · 45%(Manisa F.K. · draw · Esenler Erokspor)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Manisa F.K. €369K, Esenler Erokspor €521K.
- Style contrast in discipline (1. Lig): Manisa F.K. ranked #19 of 20, Esenler Erokspor #2.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Manisa F.K.
15th in 1. Lig · 9 pts from 9
- 10 OctLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1613
- 20 SepLİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1631
- 13 SepDFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1634
- 7 SepLBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1643
- 3 SepLIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1517
Esenler Erokspor
16th in 1. Lig · 8 pts from 9
- 10 OctWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1711
- 19 SepLFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1756
- 13 SepDBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1718
- 7 SepLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1733
- 3 SepDBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1775
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manisa F.K. | 9 /9 | 43.6 | 0% | 1% | 21% | 17th |
| Esenler Erokspor | 8 /9 | 55.7 | <1% | 19% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Manisa F.K. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1610

Esenler Erokspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1704
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Manisa F.K.: balanced profile (how Ahmet Pektas plays) · Esenler Erokspor: balanced profile (how Hikmet Karaman plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.