EFL Cup · Round of 16
Manchester City vs Brighton
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Manchester CityTeam 2607
BrightonTeam 2364Live chances
Manchester City · draw · BrightonMost likely final score (live)
- 1–1 12%
- 2–1 10%
- 1–0 9%
Confirmed line-ups
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Manchester City
1st in Premier League · 21 pts from 8
- 24 OctLAston Villa Premier League2633
- 20 OctWAEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League2461
- 17 OctWIpswich Premier League2592
- 14 OctLParis Saint Germain UEFA Champions League2653
- 11 OctWLiverpool Premier League2628
Brighton
3rd in Premier League · 16 pts from 8
- 25 OctLLiverpool Premier League2416
- 22 OctDFK Jablonec UEFA Conference League2237
- 18 OctWCrystal Palace Premier League2393
- 15 OctWKauno Žalgiris UEFA Conference League2254
- 10 OctWSunderland Premier League2384
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Manchester City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2691

Brighton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2390
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Manchester City: possession-based · creative (how Enzo Maresca plays) · Brighton: balanced profile (how Fabian Hürzeler plays)