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Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 23

Malmo FF 1–0 Kalmar FF

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Eleda Stadion, Malmö

Malmo FF crestMalmo FFTeam 1720
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Kalmar FF crestKalmar FFTeam 1483

Match story

Malmo FF · draw · Kalmar FF

Before kick-off: 61% · 23% · 16%

Live chances: Malmo FF 99%, draw 1%, Kalmar FF 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 61%, draw 23%, Kalmar FF 16%2' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 61%, draw 23%, Kalmar FF 16%3' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 60%, draw 23%, Kalmar FF 16%4' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 60%, draw 24%, Kalmar FF 16%5' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 60%, draw 24%, Kalmar FF 16%6' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 60%, draw 24%, Kalmar FF 16%7' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 60%, draw 24%, Kalmar FF 16%8' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 59%, draw 24%, Kalmar FF 16%9' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 59%, draw 24%, Kalmar FF 17%10' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 59%, draw 25%, Kalmar FF 17%11' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 59%, draw 25%, Kalmar FF 17%12' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 58%, draw 25%, Kalmar FF 17%13' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 58%, draw 25%, Kalmar FF 17%14' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 58%, draw 25%, Kalmar FF 17%15' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 58%, draw 26%, Kalmar FF 17%16' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 57%, draw 26%, Kalmar FF 17%17' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 57%, draw 26%, Kalmar FF 17%18' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 57%, draw 26%, Kalmar FF 17%19' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 57%, draw 26%, Kalmar FF 17%20' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 56%, draw 27%, Kalmar FF 17%21' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 56%, draw 27%, Kalmar FF 17%22' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 56%, draw 27%, Kalmar FF 17%23' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 56%, draw 27%, Kalmar FF 17%24' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 55%, draw 28%, Kalmar FF 17%25' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 55%, draw 28%, Kalmar FF 17%26' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 55%, draw 28%, Kalmar FF 17%27' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 54%, draw 28%, Kalmar FF 17%28' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 54%, draw 28%, Kalmar FF 17%29' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 54%, draw 29%, Kalmar FF 17%30' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 54%, draw 29%, Kalmar FF 17%31' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 53%, draw 29%, Kalmar FF 17%32' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 53%, draw 30%, Kalmar FF 17%33' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 53%, draw 30%, Kalmar FF 17%34' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 52%, draw 30%, Kalmar FF 17%35' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 52%, draw 31%, Kalmar FF 18%36' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 52%, draw 31%, Kalmar FF 18%37' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 51%, draw 31%, Kalmar FF 18%38' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 51%, draw 32%, Kalmar FF 18%39' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 51%, draw 32%, Kalmar FF 18%40' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 50%, draw 32%, Kalmar FF 18%41' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 50%, draw 33%, Kalmar FF 18%42' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 49%, draw 33%, Kalmar FF 18%43' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 49%, draw 33%, Kalmar FF 18%44' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 49%, draw 34%, Kalmar FF 18%45' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 48%, draw 34%, Kalmar FF 18%45+1' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 48%, draw 34%, Kalmar FF 18%HT · 0–0 · Malmo FF 47%, draw 36%, Kalmar FF 18%46' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 47%, draw 36%, Kalmar FF 18%47' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 46%, draw 36%, Kalmar FF 18%48' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 46%, draw 36%, Kalmar FF 18%49' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 46%, draw 37%, Kalmar FF 17%50' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 45%, draw 38%, Kalmar FF 17%51' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 44%, draw 38%, Kalmar FF 17%52' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 44%, draw 39%, Kalmar FF 17%53' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 43%, draw 39%, Kalmar FF 17%54' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 43%, draw 40%, Kalmar FF 17%55' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 42%, draw 41%, Kalmar FF 17%56' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 42%, draw 41%, Kalmar FF 17%57' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 41%, draw 42%, Kalmar FF 17%58' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 40%, draw 43%, Kalmar FF 17%59' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 40%, draw 44%, Kalmar FF 17%60' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 39%, draw 44%, Kalmar FF 17%61' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 38%, draw 45%, Kalmar FF 16%62' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 38%, draw 46%, Kalmar FF 16%63' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 37%, draw 47%, Kalmar FF 16%64' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 36%, draw 47%, Kalmar FF 16%65' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 36%, draw 48%, Kalmar FF 16%66' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 35%, draw 49%, Kalmar FF 16%67' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 34%, draw 50%, Kalmar FF 16%68' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 34%, draw 51%, Kalmar FF 15%69' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 33%, draw 52%, Kalmar FF 15%70' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 32%, draw 53%, Kalmar FF 15%71' · 0–0 · Malmo FF 31%, draw 54%, Kalmar FF 15%72' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 85%, draw 13%, Kalmar FF 2%73' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 86%, draw 13%, Kalmar FF 2%74' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 86%, draw 13%, Kalmar FF 2%75' · 1–1 · Malmo FF 28%, draw 58%, Kalmar FF 14%76' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 87%, draw 12%, Kalmar FF 1%77' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 87%, draw 12%, Kalmar FF 1%78' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 87%, draw 12%, Kalmar FF 1%79' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 88%, draw 11%, Kalmar FF 1%80' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 88%, draw 11%, Kalmar FF 1%81' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 88%, draw 11%, Kalmar FF 1%82' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 89%, draw 10%, Kalmar FF 1%83' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 89%, draw 10%, Kalmar FF 1%84' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 90%, draw 9%, Kalmar FF 1%85' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 90%, draw 9%, Kalmar FF 1%86' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 91%, draw 9%, Kalmar FF 1%87' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 92%, draw 8%, Kalmar FF 0%88' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 92%, draw 7%, Kalmar FF 0%89' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 93%, draw 7%, Kalmar FF 0%90' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 94%, draw 6%, Kalmar FF 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 94%, draw 5%, Kalmar FF 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 95%, draw 5%, Kalmar FF 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 96%, draw 4%, Kalmar FF 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 97%, draw 3%, Kalmar FF 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 98%, draw 2%, Kalmar FF 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Malmo FF 99%, draw 1%, Kalmar FF 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Malmo FF 61% to win: they did.

  1. 40'Kalmar FF:Carl Gustafsson 1588 −13*
  2. 45'Malmo FF:Sead Hakšabanović 1766 +2* for Jovan Milosavljević 1524 +13*
  3. 57'Malmo FF:Andrej Djuric 1810 +17
  4. 68'Kalmar FF:Miska Ylitolva 1537 −15*
  5. 69'Malmo FF:Anders Christiansen 1380 −12* for Mayckel Lahdo 1851 −4*
  6. 69'Kalmar FF:Tobias Lauritsen 1490 −8* for Melker Hallberg 1519 −13*
  7. 72'Malmo FF:Otto Rosengren 1784 +11* assist Jens Stryger Larsen 1745 +6*
  8. 73'Kalmar FF:Noah Shamoun 1381 −8* for Abdussalam Magashy 1485 −10*
  9. 73'Kalmar FF:Eskild Dall 1323 −8* for vilmer tyren 1278 −8*
  10. 78'Malmo FF:Theodor Lundbergh 1657 −6* for Anton Sebastian Höög 1631 +2*
  11. 78'Malmo FF:Emmanuel Ekong 1669 −6* for Daniel Gudjohnsen 1660 +2*
  12. 80'Kalmar FF:Sivert Overby 1335 −8* for Victor Larsson 1521 −10*
  13. 80'Kalmar FF:Amara Camara for Marius Soderback 1546 −11*
  14. 88'Malmo FF:Emmanuel Ekong 1669 −6*
  15. 88'Malmo FF:Bleon Kurtulus 1611 −7* for Otto Rosengren 1784 +11*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GS. Brolin1563−20*
DM. Ylitolva1537−15*
DL. Sætra1453−15*
DJ. Löfgren1584−24*
DV. Larsson1521−10*
MC. Gustafsson1588−13*
MM. Hallberg1519−13*
MM. Söderbäck1546−11*
MA. Magashy1485−10*
MC. Sagoe1557−19*
FV. Tyren1278−8*
CT. Koskela1552−15*
Before kick-off: 61% · 23% · 16%(Malmo FF · draw · Kalmar FF)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 1–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Malmo FF €1.1M, Kalmar FF €350K.
  • Style contrast in attacking (Allsvenskan): Malmo FF ranked #3 of 16, Kalmar FF #14.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Malmo FF

8th in Allsvenskan · 33 pts from 22

  • 19 SepLVasteras SK FK 1744
  • 13 SepWOrgryte IS 1704
  • 7 SepDAIK Stockholm 1740
  • 31 AugWSirius 1677
  • 24 AugLDjurgardens IF 1722

Kalmar FF

14th in Allsvenskan · 19 pts from 22

  • 20 SepLBK Hacken 1578
  • 13 SepLIF Elfsborg 1581
  • 7 SepLDjurgardens IF 1543
  • 29 AugLHalmstad 1500
  • 23 AugDVasteras SK FK 1519

Season outlook

From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Malmo FF33 /2245.40%11%0%6th
Kalmar FF19 /2228.40%0%44%13th
Malmo FF
Kalmar FF

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Allsvenskan

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Đurić
A. Đurić

Malmo FF · +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1793

C. Sagoe
C. Sagoe

Kalmar FF · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1576

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Toni Koskela

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Malmo FF: possession-based (how Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup plays) · Kalmar FF: balanced profile (how Toni Koskela plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.