Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 23
Malmo FF 1–0 Kalmar FF
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Malmo FFTeam 1720
Kalmar FFTeam 1483Match story
Malmo FF · draw · Kalmar FFBefore kick-off: 61% · 23% · 16%
Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Otto Rosengren 72'
We gave Malmo FF 61% to win: they did.
- 40'Carl Gustafsson 1588 −13*
Kalmar FF:Carl Gustafsson 1588 −13* - Sead Hakšabanović 1766 +2* for Jovan Milosavljević 1524 +13*45'
Malmo FF:Sead Hakšabanović 1766 +2* for Jovan Milosavljević 1524 +13* - Andrej Djuric 1810 +1757'
Malmo FF:Andrej Djuric 1810 +17 - 68'Miska Ylitolva 1537 −15*
Kalmar FF:Miska Ylitolva 1537 −15* - Anders Christiansen 1380 −12* for Mayckel Lahdo 1851 −4*69'
Malmo FF:Anders Christiansen 1380 −12* for Mayckel Lahdo 1851 −4* - 69'Tobias Lauritsen 1490 −8* for Melker Hallberg 1519 −13*
Kalmar FF:Tobias Lauritsen 1490 −8* for Melker Hallberg 1519 −13* - Otto Rosengren 1784 +11* assist Jens Stryger Larsen 1745 +6*72'
Malmo FF:Otto Rosengren 1784 +11* assist Jens Stryger Larsen 1745 +6* - 73'Noah Shamoun 1381 −8* for Abdussalam Magashy 1485 −10*
Kalmar FF:Noah Shamoun 1381 −8* for Abdussalam Magashy 1485 −10* - 73'Eskild Dall 1323 −8* for vilmer tyren 1278 −8*
Kalmar FF:Eskild Dall 1323 −8* for vilmer tyren 1278 −8* - Theodor Lundbergh 1657 −6* for Anton Sebastian Höög 1631 +2*78'
Malmo FF:Theodor Lundbergh 1657 −6* for Anton Sebastian Höög 1631 +2* - Emmanuel Ekong 1669 −6* for Daniel Gudjohnsen 1660 +2*78'
Malmo FF:Emmanuel Ekong 1669 −6* for Daniel Gudjohnsen 1660 +2* - 80'Sivert Overby 1335 −8* for Victor Larsson 1521 −10*
Kalmar FF:Sivert Overby 1335 −8* for Victor Larsson 1521 −10* - 80'Amara Camara for Marius Soderback 1546 −11*
Kalmar FF:Amara Camara for Marius Soderback 1546 −11* - Emmanuel Ekong 1669 −6*88'
Malmo FF:Emmanuel Ekong 1669 −6* - Bleon Kurtulus 1611 −7* for Otto Rosengren 1784 +11*88'
Malmo FF:Bleon Kurtulus 1611 −7* for Otto Rosengren 1784 +11*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 61% · 23% · 16%(Malmo FF · draw · Kalmar FF)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 1–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Malmo FF €1.1M, Kalmar FF €350K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Allsvenskan): Malmo FF ranked #3 of 16, Kalmar FF #14.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Malmo FF
8th in Allsvenskan · 33 pts from 22
- 19 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1744
- 13 SepWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1704
- 7 SepDAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1740
- 31 AugWSirius Allsvenskan1677
- 24 AugLDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1722
Kalmar FF
14th in Allsvenskan · 19 pts from 22
- 20 SepLBK Hacken Allsvenskan1578
- 13 SepLIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan1581
- 7 SepLDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1543
- 29 AugLHalmstad Allsvenskan1500
- 23 AugDVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1519
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 33 /22 | 45.4 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 6th |
| Kalmar FF | 19 /22 | 28.4 | 0% | 0% | 44% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Malmo FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1793

Kalmar FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1576
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Malmo FF: possession-based (how Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup plays) · Kalmar FF: balanced profile (how Toni Koskela plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.