Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 27
Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Malmo FF host Hammarby FF on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Malmo FF 37%, draw 29%, Hammarby FF 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Malmo FF €829K, Hammarby FF €1.8M.
- Home advantage makes Malmo FF the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Allsvenskan: E. Skoglund is the highest-rated defender (1933).
- Only 2 of Hammarby FF's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Malmo FF goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Malmo FF 1712 · Hammarby FF 1772
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Malmo FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1762
Hammarby FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1888
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Malmo FF
7th in Allsvenskan · 36 pts from 24
- 18 OctLBK Hacken Allsvenskan1731
- 12 OctWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1714
- 19 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1744
- 13 SepWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1704
- 7 SepDAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1740
Hammarby FF
3rd in Allsvenskan · 46 pts from 24
- 18 OctWHalmstad Allsvenskan1837
- 11 OctLDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1843
- 20 SepWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1802
- 13 SepWIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1782
- 6 SepDOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1846
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 36 /24 | 44.8 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7th |
| Hammarby FF | 46 /24 | 55.7 | 3% | 95% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Malmo FF: possession-based (how Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup plays) · Hammarby FF: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Henrik Per-Erik Rydström plays)