Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 24
Malmo FF 0–1 BK Hacken
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Malmo FFTeam 1738BK HackenTeam 1744- adrian svanback 52'
We gave Malmo FF 41% to win: BK Hacken won.
- 19'abdoulaye doumbia 1765 +11BK Hacken:abdoulaye doumbia 1765 +11
- Busanello 1788 −624'Malmo FF:Busanello 1788 −6
- 26'David Seger 1678 +13BK Hacken:David Seger 1678 +13
- Anders Christiansen 1371 −9 for Anton Sebastian Höög 1631 045'Malmo FF:Anders Christiansen 1371 −9 for Anton Sebastian Höög 1631 0
- 52'adrian svanback 1815 +22 assist Mikkel Rygaard Jensen 1613 +41BK Hacken:adrian svanback 1815 +22 assist Mikkel Rygaard Jensen 1613 +41
- Diego García 1740 −9* for Daniel Gudjohnsen 1660 054'Malmo FF:Diego García 1740 −9* for Daniel Gudjohnsen 1660 0
- 66'Adam Lundqvist 1741 +31BK Hacken:Adam Lundqvist 1741 +31
- Bleon Kurtulus 1611 0 for Stian Gregersen 1851 −29*66'Malmo FF:Bleon Kurtulus 1611 0 for Stian Gregersen 1851 −29*
- 76'Simen Hestnes 1534 −7* for David Seger 1678 +13BK Hacken:Simen Hestnes 1534 −7* for David Seger 1678 +13
- Jens Stryger Larsen 1732 −1380'Malmo FF:Jens Stryger Larsen 1732 −13
- 80'Wilson Elliot Lindberg Uhrström 1410 +4 for Mikkel Rygaard Jensen 1613 +41BK Hacken:Wilson Elliot Lindberg Uhrström 1410 +4 for Mikkel Rygaard Jensen 1613 +41
- A. Sundgren for Jens Stryger Larsen 1732 −1384'Malmo FF:A. Sundgren for Jens Stryger Larsen 1732 −13
- Emmanuel Ekong 1669 0 for Theodor Lundbergh 1657 084'Malmo FF:Emmanuel Ekong 1669 0 for Theodor Lundbergh 1657 0
- 84'Leo Väisänen 1742 +1 for Gustav Lindgren 1790 +9BK Hacken:Leo Väisänen 1742 +1 for Gustav Lindgren 1790 +9
- 84'Christ Ivan Wawa 897 +5 for adrian svanback 1815 +22BK Hacken:Christ Ivan Wawa 897 +5 for adrian svanback 1815 +22
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 41% · 29% · 31%(Malmo FF · draw · BK Hacken)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Malmo FF €858K, BK Hacken €614K.
- Malmo FF were without 1 expected starter: A. Đurić (1810).
- BK Hacken's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Malmo FF
6th in Allsvenskan · 36 pts from 23
- 12 OctWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1714
- 19 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1744
- 13 SepWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1704
- 7 SepDAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1740
- 31 AugWSirius Allsvenskan1677
BK Hacken
5th in Allsvenskan · 39 pts from 23
- 11 OctWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1723
- 20 SepWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1675
- 11 SepDMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1690
- 5 SepDGais Allsvenskan1667
- 29 AugLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1703
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 36 /23 | 46.6 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 6th |
| BK Hacken | 39 /23 | 49.4 | 0% | 41% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Malmo FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1766
BK Hacken · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1754
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Malmo FF: possession-based (how Gaute Ugelstad Helstrup plays) · BK Hacken: possession-based (how Jens Otto Andreas Gustafsson plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.