Segunda División · Regular Season - 9
Mallorca 3–1 Las Palmas
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma
MallorcaTeam 1879Las PalmasTeam 1776- Pablo Torre 27'
- Alex Sala 53'
- Adrian Fuentes 82'
- Iván Jaime 73'
We gave Mallorca 53% to win: they did.
- Pablo Torre – assist Josep Cerda –27'Mallorca:Pablo Torre – assist Josep Cerda –
- Adrian Liso –44'Mallorca:Adrian Liso –
- 52'Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi –Las Palmas:Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi –
- Alex Sala – assist Adrian Fuentes –53'Mallorca:Alex Sala – assist Adrian Fuentes –
- 57'Elías Romero – for Kirian Rodríguez –Las Palmas:Elías Romero – for Kirian Rodríguez –
- 62'Elías Romero –Las Palmas:Elías Romero –
- 66'Rafael Cruz Suarez – for Taisei Miyashiro –Las Palmas:Rafael Cruz Suarez – for Taisei Miyashiro –
- Zito Luvumbo – for Josep Cerda –68'Mallorca:Zito Luvumbo – for Josep Cerda –
- Antonio Latorre Grueso – for Alberto Moreno –68'Mallorca:Antonio Latorre Grueso – for Alberto Moreno –
- 73'Iván Jaime – assist Jefte Betancor Sanchez –Las Palmas:Iván Jaime – assist Jefte Betancor Sanchez –
- Sergi Darder – for Pablo Torre –74'Mallorca:Sergi Darder – for Pablo Torre –
- Adrian Fuentes – assist Sergi Darder –82'Mallorca:Adrian Fuentes – assist Sergi Darder –
- Miguel Calatayud García – for Alex Sala –83'Mallorca:Miguel Calatayud García – for Alex Sala –
- Guille Fernández – for Antonio Sánchez –83'Mallorca:Guille Fernández – for Antonio Sánchez –
- 85'Manu Fuster – for Jefte Betancor Sanchez –Las Palmas:Manu Fuster – for Jefte Betancor Sanchez –
- 85'Giovanni Bonfanti – for Enzo Loiodice –Las Palmas:Giovanni Bonfanti – for Enzo Loiodice –
- 85'Mateo Acimovic for Adrián Rodríguez del RosarioLas Palmas:Mateo Acimovic for Adrián Rodríguez del Rosario
- 86'Juanma Herzog –Las Palmas:Juanma Herzog –
Before kick-off (provisional): 53% · 26% · 21%(Mallorca · draw · Las Palmas)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 3–1 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mallorca €2.2M, Las Palmas €1.1M.
- Style contrast in possession (Segunda División): Mallorca ranked #21 of 24, Las Palmas #3.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mallorca
6th in Segunda División · 14 pts from 8
- 4 OctDGirona Spain Segunda Division1867
- 27 SepLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1858
- 19 SepWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1872
- 13 SepWSabadell Spain Segunda Division1851
- 5 SepDEldense Spain Segunda Division1886
Las Palmas
12th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 8
- 4 OctDValladolid Spain Segunda Division1730
- 27 SepLEibar Spain Segunda Division1791
- 20 SepLBurgos Spain Segunda Division1801
- 12 SepWCadiz Spain Segunda Division1772
- 4 SepDLeganes Spain Segunda Division1787
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 14 /8 | 70.6 | 10% | 52% | 0% | 3rd |
| Las Palmas | 11 /8 | 60.1 | <1% | 7% | 1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mallorca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1896
Las Palmas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1869
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mallorca: direct (how Luis García Fernández plays) · Las Palmas: balanced profile (how Rubén de la Barrera Fernández plays)