Segunda División · Regular Season - 12
Mallorca vs Cadiz
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Mallorca host Cadiz on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mallorca 60%, draw 23%, Cadiz 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mallorca €2.7M, Cadiz €728K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mallorca goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Mallorca 1904 · Cadiz 1726
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mallorca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1923
Cadiz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.5 (Good) · Elo 1573
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mallorca
6th in Segunda División · 18 pts from 10
- 17 OctDEibar Spain Segunda Division1917
- 11 OctWLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1886
- 4 OctDGirona Spain Segunda Division1867
- 27 SepLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1858
- 19 SepWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1872
Cadiz
20th in Segunda División · 7 pts from 10
- 18 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1698
- 11 OctLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1759
- 3 OctWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1695
- 26 SepDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1673
- 19 SepLGirona Spain Segunda Division1702
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 18 /10 | 72.3 | 12% | 54% | 0% | 3rd |
| Cadiz | 7 /10 | 48.1 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mallorca: direct (how Luis García Fernández plays) · Cadiz: balanced profile (how Albert Celades López plays)