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La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · La Rosaleda, Malaga

Malaga crestMalagaTeam 1824
2–5
Full time
HT 0–2
Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadTeam 2118

Match story

Malaga · draw · Real Sociedad

Before kick-off: 23% · 30% · 48%

Live chances: Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Malaga 23%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 48%2' · 0–0 · Malaga 23%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 47%3' · 0–0 · Malaga 23%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad 47%4' · 0–1 · Malaga 11%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 68%5' · 0–1 · Malaga 11%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 68%6' · 0–1 · Malaga 11%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 68%7' · 0–1 · Malaga 11%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 68%8' · 0–1 · Malaga 11%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 68%9' · 0–1 · Malaga 11%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 68%10' · 0–1 · Malaga 11%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 68%11' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 68%12' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%13' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%14' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%15' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%16' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%17' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%18' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%19' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%20' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%21' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%22' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%23' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%24' · 0–1 · Malaga 10%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%25' · 0–1 · Malaga 9%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%26' · 0–1 · Malaga 9%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 69%27' · 0–2 · Malaga 2%, draw 7%, Real Sociedad 91%28' · 0–2 · Malaga 2%, draw 7%, Real Sociedad 91%30' · 0–2 · Malaga 2%, draw 7%, Real Sociedad 92%31' · 0–2 · Malaga 2%, draw 7%, Real Sociedad 92%32' · 0–2 · Malaga 2%, draw 7%, Real Sociedad 92%33' · 0–2 · Malaga 2%, draw 7%, Real Sociedad 92%34' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 7%, Real Sociedad 92%35' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 92%36' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 92%37' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 92%38' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 92%39' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 92%40' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 93%41' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 93%42' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 93%43' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 93%44' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 93%45' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 93%45+1' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 93%45+2' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 6%, Real Sociedad 93%HT · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad 94%47' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad 94%48' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad 94%49' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad 94%50' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad 94%51' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad 94%52' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad 94%53' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad 95%54' · 0–2 · Malaga 1%, draw 4%, Real Sociedad 95%55' · 1–2 · Malaga 6%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 74%56' · 1–2 · Malaga 6%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 74%57' · 1–2 · Malaga 5%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 74%58' · 1–2 · Malaga 5%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad 74%59' · 1–2 · Malaga 5%, draw 20%, Real Sociedad 75%60' · 1–3 · Malaga 1%, draw 4%, Real Sociedad 96%61' · 1–3 · Malaga 0%, draw 4%, Real Sociedad 96%62' · 1–3 · Malaga 0%, draw 3%, Real Sociedad 96%63' · 1–3 · Malaga 0%, draw 3%, Real Sociedad 96%64' · 1–3 · Malaga 0%, draw 3%, Real Sociedad 96%65' · 1–3 · Malaga 0%, draw 3%, Real Sociedad 97%66' · 1–3 · Malaga 0%, draw 3%, Real Sociedad 97%67' · 2–3 · Malaga 4%, draw 19%, Real Sociedad 77%68' · 2–4 · Malaga 0%, draw 3%, Real Sociedad 97%69' · 2–4 · Malaga 0%, draw 3%, Real Sociedad 97%70' · 2–4 · Malaga 0%, draw 2%, Real Sociedad 97%71' · 2–4 · Malaga 0%, draw 2%, Real Sociedad 97%72' · 2–4 · Malaga 0%, draw 2%, Real Sociedad 98%73' · 2–4 · Malaga 0%, draw 2%, Real Sociedad 98%74' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%75' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%76' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%77' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%78' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%79' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%80' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%81' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%82' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%83' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%84' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%85' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%87' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%88' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%89' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%90' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%90+1' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%90+2' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%90+3' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%90+4' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%90+5' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%90+6' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%90+7' · 2–5 · Malaga 0%, draw 0%, Real Sociedad 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Real Sociedad 48% to win: they did.

  1. 3'Real Sociedad:Takefusa Kubo 2144 +54 assist Hector Fort 2031 +24
  2. 26'Real Sociedad:Orri Steinn Óskarsson 2128 +63
  3. 37'Real Sociedad:Jon Martin 2238 +20
  4. 45'Malaga:Ramón Enríquez 1693 −8* for Izan Merino 1911 −3
  5. 45'Malaga:Adam Aznou 1773 0 for José Salinas 1901 −11*
  6. 54'Malaga:Adrian Nino 1847 −5 assist Pablo Martínez Andrés 1966 −34
  7. 59'Real Sociedad:Mikel Oyarzabal 2451 +25 assist Takefusa Kubo 2144 +54
  8. 61'Real Sociedad:Gonçalo Guedes 2262 +14 for Ander Barrenetxea 2197 +14
  9. 61'Real Sociedad:Igor Zubeldia 2151 +6 for Hector Fort 2031 +24
  10. 62'Real Sociedad:Mamadou Sarr 2240 +20
  11. 64'Malaga:Dani Lorenzo 1877 −1 for Carlos Dotor 1859 −2
  12. 66'Malaga:Pablo Martínez Andrés 1966 −34
  13. 67'Real Sociedad:Mikel Oyarzabal 2451 +25 assist Jon Martin 2238 +20
  14. 68'Malaga:Joaquín Muñoz 1909 −3 for David Larrubia 1933 −6
  15. 71'Real Sociedad:Sergio Gómez 2258 +10 for Aihen Muñoz 2070 +13*
  16. 71'Real Sociedad:Job Ochieng 1878 +8 for Takefusa Kubo 2144 +54
  17. 73'Real Sociedad:Gonçalo Guedes 2262 +14
  18. 79'Real Sociedad:Alex Marchal García 1628 −1* for Orri Steinn Óskarsson 2128 +63
  19. 82'Malaga:Carlos Puga 1931 −1 for Adrian Nino 1847 −5

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2
GAlfonso Herrero1909−8
DRafita1883−5
DFernando Calero1915−10
DÁngel Recio15200
DJosé Salinas1901−11*
MDavid Larrubia1933−6
MIzan Merino1911−3
MCarlos Dotor1859−2
MPablo Martínez1966−34
FAdrián Niño Heredia1847−5
FChupe1911−7
CFunes16460
GÁlex Remiro2245+18
DHéctor Fort2031+24
DJon Martín2238+20
DM. Sarr2240+20
DAihen Muñoz2070+13*
MT. Kubo2144+54
MJon Gorrotxategi2204+21
MCarlos Soler2307+44
MBarrenetxea2197+14
FMikel Oyarzabal2451+25
FO. Óskarsson2128+63
CP. Matarazzo2289+32
Before kick-off: 23% · 30% · 48%(Malaga · draw · Real Sociedad)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–5 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Malaga €2.1M, Real Sociedad €11.8M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Malaga

20th in La Liga · 4 pts from 8

  • 9 OctDEspanyol 1855
  • 20 SepLGetafe 1791
  • 17 SepLVillarreal 1865
  • 13 SepDCelta Vigo 1871
  • 6 SepDLevante 1856

Real Sociedad

6th in La Liga · 13 pts from 8

  • 15 OctDUnion St. Gilloise 2169
  • 11 OctWDeportivo La Coruna 2156
  • 20 SepWValencia 2148
  • 17 SepLBournemouth 2110
  • 13 SepLAtletico Madrid 2175

Season outlook

From the La Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Malaga4 /830.30%0%79%20th
Real Sociedad13 /861.30%12%0%5th
Malaga
Real Sociedad

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: La Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Chupe

Malaga · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1917

Álex Remiro
Álex Remiro

Real Sociedad · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 2227

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Juan Francisco Funes Arjona

Coach DNA: –

Pellegrino Matarazzo

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Malaga: dribble-heavy (how Juan Francisco Funes Arjona plays) · Real Sociedad: balanced profile (how Pellegrino Matarazzo plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.