La Liga · Regular Season - 12
Malaga vs Racing Santander
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga host Racing Santander on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Malaga 40%, draw 29%, Racing Santander 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Malaga €2.1M, Racing Santander €3.7M.
- Home advantage makes Malaga the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance; La Liga has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Malaga goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Malaga 1856 · Racing Santander 1916
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Malaga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1911
Racing Santander · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1985
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Malaga
20th in La Liga · 4 pts from 9
- 18 OctLReal Sociedad La Liga1869
- 9 OctDEspanyol La Liga1855
- 20 SepLGetafe La Liga1791
- 17 SepLVillarreal La Liga1865
- 13 SepDCelta Vigo La Liga1871
Racing Santander
17th in La Liga · 8 pts from 9
- 18 OctLOsasuna La Liga1956
- 11 OctDValencia La Liga1965
- 19 SepLCelta Vigo La Liga1931
- 16 SepLBarcelona La Liga1891
- 12 SepWAlaves La Liga1916
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 4 /9 | 29.8 | 0% | 0% | 82% | 20th |
| Racing Santander | 8 /9 | 36.5 | 0% | 0% | 42% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Malaga: dribble-heavy (how Funes plays) · Racing Santander: balanced profile (how José Alberto López plays)