Botola Pro · Regular Season - 5
Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Maghreb Fès host Renaissance Berkane on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Botola Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Maghreb Fès 23%, draw 27%, Renaissance Berkane 51%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Maghreb Fès €429K, Renaissance Berkane €801K.
- Botola Pro: I. Kandouss is the highest-rated defender (1796).
- All 11 of Renaissance Berkane's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- Y. El Motie (Renaissance Berkane) has not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Maghreb Fès goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Maghreb Fès 1453 · Renaissance Berkane 1645
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Maghreb Fès · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1471
Renaissance Berkane · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1730
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Maghreb Fès
5th in Botola Pro · 7 pts from 4
- 14 OctLIttihad Tanger Morocco Botola Pro1433
- 27 SepWCR Khemis Zemamra Morocco Botola Pro1405
- 12 JunDFUS Rabat Morocco Botola Pro1405
- 9 JunDFAR Rabat Morocco Botola Pro1398
- 1 JunWOlympique Safi Morocco Botola Pro1430
Renaissance Berkane
12th in Botola Pro · 3 pts from 3
- 13 OctDCR Khemis Zemamra Morocco Botola Pro1689
- 14 JunLHassania Agadir Morocco Botola Pro1622
- 8 JunWIttihad Tanger Morocco Botola Pro1646
- 3 JunWRaja Casablanca Morocco Botola Pro1677
- 24 MayWCR Khemis Zemamra Morocco Botola Pro1600
Season outlook
From the Botola Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maghreb Fès | 7 /4 | 11.9 | 11% | 49% | <1% | 3rd |
| Renaissance Berkane | 3 /3 | 8.4 | <1% | 11% | 10% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: –