Botola Pro · Regular Season - 3
Maghreb Fès 0–0 Raja Casablanca
Thu 8 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Maghreb FèsTeam 1484Raja CasablancaTeam 1581We gave Raja Casablanca 42% to win: it ended in a draw.
Before kick-off (provisional): 29% · 28% · 42%(Maghreb Fès · draw · Raja Casablanca)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Maghreb Fès €228K, Raja Casablanca €311K.
- M. Harrar, B. Benoun, A. Barkok, M. Al Makahasi, I. Mokadem, A. El Amloud, A. Ennaffati, S. Bougrine and M. Oyewusi (Raja Casablanca) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Maghreb Fès
1st in Botola Pro · 6 pts from 2
- 27 SepWCR Khemis Zemamra Morocco Botola Pro1405
- 12 JunDFUS Rabat Morocco Botola Pro1405
- 9 JunDFAR Rabat Morocco Botola Pro1398
- 1 JunWOlympique Safi Morocco Botola Pro1430
- 22 MayLIttihad Tanger Morocco Botola Pro1430
Raja Casablanca
8th in Botola Pro · 3 pts from 1
- 14 JunDUTS Rabat Morocco Botola Pro1500
- 3 JunLRenaissance Berkane Morocco Botola Pro1534
- 9 MayLWydad AC Morocco Botola Pro1552
- 6 MayWMaghreb Fès Morocco Botola Pro1563
- 3 MayWDifaa EL Jadida Morocco Botola Pro1520
Season outlook
From the Botola Pro simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maghreb Fès | 6 /2 | 8.9 | 44% | 82% | 0% | 1st |
| Raja Casablanca | 3 /1 | 6.5 | 16% | 49% | 1% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Maghreb Fès · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1522
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –