Super Liga · Regular Season - 14
Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Macva host FK Crvena Zvezda on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Super Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Macva 5%, draw 11%, FK Crvena Zvezda 83%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Macva €241K, FK Crvena Zvezda €3.5M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Super Liga matchday 14: 647 points.
- Draw chance 11%, below the Super Liga average of 26% this round.
- Super Liga: Matheus is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2053).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Macva goals first.
- 0–310%
- 0–29%
- 0–48%
- 1–38%
- 1–28%
- 1–47%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Macva 1275 · FK Crvena Zvezda 1922
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Macva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1558
FK Crvena Zvezda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2018
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Macva
12th in Super Liga · 10 pts from 12
- 17 OctDOFK Beograd Serbian Super Liga1339
- 10 OctDCukaricki Serbian Super Liga1276
- 20 SepLMladost Lucani Serbian Super Liga1277
- 11 SepLŽelezničar Pančevo Serbian Super Liga1264
- 5 SepDRadnicki 1923 Serbian Super Liga1335
FK Crvena Zvezda
1st in Super Liga · 34 pts from 12
- 18 OctWMladost Lucani Serbian Super Liga1807
- 15 OctLFC Lugano UEFA Conference League1945
- 10 OctWRadnicki 1923 Serbian Super Liga1920
- 20 SepWRadnicki NIS Serbian Super Liga1882
- 17 SepWŽelezničar Pančevo Serbian Super Liga1902
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macva | 10 /12 | 20.3 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 13th |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 34 /12 | 65.1 | 97% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based