Ligat Ha'al · Regular Season - 9
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Maccabi Petah Tikva host Hapoel Beer Sheva on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Ligat Ha'al); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Maccabi Petah Tikva 13%, draw 20%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 68%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Maccabi Petah Tikva €201K, Hapoel Beer Sheva €1.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Ligat Ha'al matchday 9: 400 points.
- Ligat Ha'al: G. Mizrahi is the highest-rated defender (1990).
- Style contrast in attacking (Ligat Ha'al): Maccabi Petah Tikva rank #10 of 11, Hapoel Beer Sheva #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Maccabi Petah Tikva goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–210%
- 1–19%
- 0–19%
- 0–38%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Maccabi Petah Tikva 1407 · Hapoel Beer Sheva 1807
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Maccabi Petah Tikva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1320

Hapoel Beer Sheva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1966
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Maccabi Petah Tikva
10th in Ligat Ha'al · 6 pts from 7
- 17 OctLMaccabi Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1348
- 10 OctLHapoel Haifa Israeli Ligat Haal1374
- 19 SepLHapoel Katamon Israeli Ligat Haal1408
- 15 SepLBeitar Jerusalem Israeli Ligat Haal1411
- 5 SepLIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1432
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4th in Ligat Ha'al · 16 pts from 7
- 18 OctWHapoel Katamon Israeli Ligat Haal1717
- 15 OctLAZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League1856
- 10 OctWIroni Tiberias Israeli Ligat Haal1799
- 19 SepWIroni Kiryat Shmona Israeli Ligat Haal1772
- 16 SepDDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League1789
Season outlook
From the Ligat Ha'al simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 6 /7 | 22.4 | 0% | 0% | 62% | 13th |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 16 /7 | 51.7 | 14% | 89% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Maccabi Petah Tikva: balanced profile (how Ziv Arie plays) · Hapoel Beer Sheva: creative (how Ran Kozuch plays)