A-League · Regular Season - 6
Macarthur vs Melbourne City
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 08:40 UTC · Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney
Macarthur host Melbourne City on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Macarthur 29%, draw 29%, Melbourne City 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Macarthur €328K, Melbourne City €485K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (A-League): Macarthur rank #4 of 12, Melbourne City #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Macarthur goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 0–18%
- 2–17%
- 0–27%
- 0–07%
- Other scores49%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Macarthur 1552 · Melbourne City 1648
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Macarthur · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1610
Melbourne City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1737
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Macarthur
7th in A-League · 5 pts from 4
- 8 NovLBrisbane Roar A-League1530
- 31 OctLWestern Sydney Wanderers A-League1552
- 24 OctDNewcastle Jets A-League1572
- 17 OctWPerth Glory A-League1543
- 24 AprWWellington Phoenix A-League1525
Melbourne City
4th in A-League · 7 pts from 4
- 7 NovWWestern Sydney Wanderers A-League1682
- 31 OctWSydney A-League1567
- 24 OctDMelbourne Victory A-League1562
- 17 OctLAuckland A-League1574
- 2 MayDAuckland A-League1672
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur | 5 /4 | 32.9 | 2% | 17% | 30% | 10th |
| Melbourne City | 7 /4 | 41.6 | 23% | 66% | 3% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Macarthur: balanced profile (how Mile Sterjovski plays) · Melbourne City: possession-based (how Aurelio Vidmar plays)