A-League · Regular Season - 4
Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 04:00 UTC · Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney
Macarthur host Brisbane Roar on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Macarthur 42%, draw 29%, Brisbane Roar 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Macarthur €375K, Brisbane Roar €284K.
- Style contrast in possession (A-League): Macarthur rank #9 of 12, Brisbane Roar #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Macarthur goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Macarthur 1579 · Brisbane Roar 1529
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 2 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Macarthur · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1674
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Macarthur
4th in A-League · 3 pts from 1
- 24 OctDNewcastle Jets A-League1578
- 17 OctWPerth Glory A-League1551
- 24 AprWWellington Phoenix A-League1529
- 19 AprLAdelaide United A-League1576
- 12 AprLPerth Glory A-League1587
Brisbane Roar
2nd in A-League · 3 pts from 1
- 23 OctWPerth Glory A-League1530
- 25 AprLPerth Glory A-League1435
- 18 AprLMelbourne City A-League1457
- 10 AprDCentral Coast Mariners A-League1461
- 2 AprDSydney A-League1473
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur | 3 /1 | 35.3 | 6% | 33% | 19% | 4th |
| Brisbane Roar | 3 /1 | 32.6 | 3% | 19% | 34% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: aggressive
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Macarthur: balanced profile (how Mile Sterjovski plays) · Brisbane Roar: balanced profile (how Michael Valkanis plays)