Liga Pro · Championship Group - 6
Macara vs Universidad Catolica
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Macara host Universidad Catolica on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Macara 42%, draw 29%, Universidad Catolica 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Macara €487K, Universidad Catolica €610K.
- Style contrast in possession (Liga Pro): Macara rank #14 of 16, Universidad Catolica #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Macara goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Macara 1701 · Universidad Catolica 1691
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Macara · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Good) · Elo 1719
Universidad Catolica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.6 (Elite) · Elo 1613
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Macara
3rd in Liga Pro · 51 pts from 30
- 17 OctWIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1706
- 11 OctWUniversidad Catolica Ecuador Liga Pro1667
- 19 SepWAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1672
- 13 SepWEmelec Ecuador Liga Pro1652
- 5 SepLIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1649
Universidad Catolica
2nd in Liga Pro · 51 pts from 30
- 23 OctDIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1722
- 18 OctDBarcelona SC Ecuador Liga Pro1722
- 11 OctLMacara Ecuador Liga Pro1723
- 20 SepLLDU de Quito Ecuador Liga Pro1652
- 15 SepWOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1638
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macara | 60 /33 | 69.4 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Universidad Catolica | 52 /33 | 60.4 | 0% | 70% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Macara: balanced profile (how G. Sanguinetti plays) · Universidad Catolica: possession-based · creative (how D. Martínez plays)