Liga Pro · Championship Group - 5
Macara vs Barcelona SC
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Macara host Barcelona SC on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Macara 46%, draw 28%, Barcelona SC 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Macara €493K, Barcelona SC €407K.
- Style contrast in possession (Liga Pro): Macara rank #14 of 16, Barcelona SC #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Macara goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Macara 1701 · Barcelona SC 1645
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Macara · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Good) · Elo 1719
Barcelona SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1737
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Macara
3rd in Liga Pro · 51 pts from 30
- 17 OctWIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1706
- 11 OctWUniversidad Catolica Ecuador Liga Pro1667
- 19 SepWAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1672
- 13 SepWEmelec Ecuador Liga Pro1652
- 5 SepLIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1649
Barcelona SC
6th in Liga Pro · 44 pts from 30
- 18 OctDUniversidad Catolica Ecuador Liga Pro1629
- 11 OctLLDU de Quito Ecuador Liga Pro1652
- 13 SepDDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1650
- 7 SepDAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1693
- 3 SepWIndependiente del Valle Ecuador Liga Pro1662
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macara | 60 /33 | 69.3 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Barcelona SC | 45 /32 | 53.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Macara: balanced profile (how Guillermo Óscar Sanguinetti Giordano plays) · Barcelona SC: balanced profile (how Pablo Trobbiani plays)