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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

Lyon 2–1 Nice

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Lyon crestLyonTeam 2087
2–1
Full time
HT 2–1
Nice crestNiceTeam 1932

Match story

Lyon · draw · Nice

Before kick-off: 54% · 25% · 20%

Live chances: Lyon 99%, draw 1%, Nice 0% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Lyon 54%, draw 25%, Nice 21%3' · 0–0 · Lyon 54%, draw 25%, Nice 21%4' · 0–0 · Lyon 54%, draw 26%, Nice 21%5' · 0–0 · Lyon 54%, draw 26%, Nice 21%6' · 0–0 · Lyon 54%, draw 26%, Nice 21%7' · 0–0 · Lyon 53%, draw 26%, Nice 21%8' · 0–0 · Lyon 53%, draw 26%, Nice 21%9' · 0–0 · Lyon 53%, draw 26%, Nice 21%10' · 0–0 · Lyon 53%, draw 26%, Nice 21%11' · 0–0 · Lyon 53%, draw 26%, Nice 21%12' · 0–0 · Lyon 53%, draw 27%, Nice 21%13' · 0–0 · Lyon 52%, draw 27%, Nice 21%14' · 0–0 · Lyon 52%, draw 27%, Nice 21%15' · 0–0 · Lyon 52%, draw 27%, Nice 21%16' · 0–0 · Lyon 52%, draw 27%, Nice 21%17' · 0–0 · Lyon 52%, draw 27%, Nice 21%18' · 0–0 · Lyon 51%, draw 28%, Nice 21%19' · 0–1 · Lyon 33%, draw 27%, Nice 39%20' · 0–1 · Lyon 33%, draw 27%, Nice 40%21' · 0–1 · Lyon 33%, draw 28%, Nice 40%22' · 0–1 · Lyon 32%, draw 28%, Nice 40%23' · 0–1 · Lyon 32%, draw 28%, Nice 40%24' · 0–1 · Lyon 31%, draw 28%, Nice 41%25' · 0–1 · Lyon 31%, draw 28%, Nice 41%26' · 0–1 · Lyon 31%, draw 28%, Nice 41%27' · 0–1 · Lyon 30%, draw 28%, Nice 42%28' · 0–1 · Lyon 30%, draw 28%, Nice 42%29' · 0–1 · Lyon 30%, draw 28%, Nice 42%30' · 0–1 · Lyon 29%, draw 28%, Nice 42%31' · 0–1 · Lyon 29%, draw 28%, Nice 43%32' · 0–1 · Lyon 29%, draw 28%, Nice 43%33' · 1–1 · Lyon 48%, draw 31%, Nice 21%35' · 1–1 · Lyon 48%, draw 31%, Nice 21%36' · 1–1 · Lyon 47%, draw 31%, Nice 21%37' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%38' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%39' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%40' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%41' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%42' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%43' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%44' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%45' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%45+1' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%45+2' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%45+3' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%HT · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%46' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%47' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 6%48' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 5%49' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 5%50' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 17%, Nice 5%51' · 2–1 · Lyon 78%, draw 17%, Nice 5%53' · 2–1 · Lyon 78%, draw 17%, Nice 5%54' · 2–1 · Lyon 78%, draw 17%, Nice 5%55' · 2–1 · Lyon 78%, draw 17%, Nice 5%56' · 2–1 · Lyon 78%, draw 17%, Nice 5%57' · 2–1 · Lyon 78%, draw 17%, Nice 4%58' · 2–1 · Lyon 78%, draw 17%, Nice 4%59' · 2–1 · Lyon 79%, draw 17%, Nice 4%60' · 2–1 · Lyon 79%, draw 17%, Nice 4%61' · 2–1 · Lyon 79%, draw 17%, Nice 4%62' · 2–1 · Lyon 79%, draw 17%, Nice 4%63' · 2–1 · Lyon 79%, draw 17%, Nice 4%64' · 2–1 · Lyon 80%, draw 17%, Nice 4%65' · 2–1 · Lyon 80%, draw 17%, Nice 3%66' · 2–1 · Lyon 80%, draw 17%, Nice 3%67' · 2–1 · Lyon 80%, draw 16%, Nice 3%68' · 2–1 · Lyon 81%, draw 16%, Nice 3%69' · 2–1 · Lyon 81%, draw 16%, Nice 3%70' · 2–1 · Lyon 81%, draw 16%, Nice 3%71' · 2–1 · Lyon 81%, draw 16%, Nice 3%72' · 2–1 · Lyon 73%, draw 22%, Nice 5%73' · 2–1 · Lyon 73%, draw 22%, Nice 5%74' · 2–1 · Lyon 74%, draw 21%, Nice 5%75' · 2–1 · Lyon 75%, draw 21%, Nice 4%76' · 2–1 · Lyon 75%, draw 21%, Nice 4%77' · 2–1 · Lyon 76%, draw 20%, Nice 4%78' · 2–1 · Lyon 77%, draw 20%, Nice 4%79' · 2–1 · Lyon 78%, draw 19%, Nice 3%80' · 2–1 · Lyon 78%, draw 19%, Nice 3%81' · 2–1 · Lyon 79%, draw 18%, Nice 3%82' · 2–1 · Lyon 80%, draw 17%, Nice 2%83' · 2–1 · Lyon 81%, draw 17%, Nice 2%84' · 2–1 · Lyon 82%, draw 16%, Nice 2%85' · 2–1 · Lyon 83%, draw 15%, Nice 2%86' · 2–1 · Lyon 84%, draw 14%, Nice 2%87' · 2–1 · Lyon 85%, draw 14%, Nice 1%88' · 2–1 · Lyon 86%, draw 13%, Nice 1%89' · 2–1 · Lyon 88%, draw 12%, Nice 1%90' · 2–1 · Lyon 89%, draw 10%, Nice 1%90+1' · 2–1 · Lyon 90%, draw 9%, Nice 1%90+2' · 2–1 · Lyon 92%, draw 8%, Nice 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Lyon 94%, draw 6%, Nice 0%90+4' · 2–2 · Lyon 3%, draw 92%, Nice 5%90+5' · 2–2 · Lyon 2%, draw 95%, Nice 3%90+6' · 2–1 · Lyon 99%, draw 1%, Nice 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Lyon 54% to win: they did.

  1. 10'Nice:Niels Nkounkou 2038 −6
  2. 18'Nice:Sepe Elye Wahi 2015 −15 assist Jonathan Clauss 1961 −15
  3. 32'Lyon:Pavel Šulc 2187 +21
  4. 36'Lyon:Tanner Tessmann 2254 +18 assist Zachary Athekame 2266 +17
  5. 48'Nice:Mohamed Abdelmoneim 1965 −4
  6. 61'Lyon:Corentin Tolisso 2186 −1 for Noah Teye Nartey 2075 +8
  7. 61'Lyon:Keito Nakamura 2075 +1 for Julien Duranville 1779 +35*
  8. 65'Nice:Mohamed Amoura 2029 −6
  9. 70'Lyon:Keito Nakamura 2075 +1
  10. 75'Lyon:Felix Bacher 1994 +2 for Kail Boudache 1863 +17
  11. 81'Nice:Alidu Seidu 1988 −8* for Mohamed Abdelmoneim 1965 −4
  12. 81'Lyon:Khalis Merah 2111 +1 for Pavel Šulc 2187 +21
  13. 81'Lyon:Ruben Kluivert 2113 +1 for Abner Vinicius 2188 +7
  14. 87'Nice:Sofiane Diop 1957 0 for Xavier Mandza 1713 0
  15. 87'Nice:Morgan Sanson 1921 −12* for Axel Witsel 1811 −11
  16. 87'Nice:Isak Jansson 1779 0 for Gauthier Hein 1792 −2
  17. 90+3'Nice:Sepe Elye Wahi 2015 −15

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-2-1
GR. Descamps1976+8*
DZ. Athekame2266+17
DClinton Mata2129−3*
DM. Niakhaté2231+9*
DAbner2188+7
MM. Bidstrup1969+16
MT. Tessmann2254+18
MJ. Duranville1779+35*
MN. Nartey2075+8
MK. Boudache1863+17
FP. Šulc2187+21
CPaulo Fonseca2253+12
GY. Diouf2017−5
DMohamed Abdelmonem1965−4
DY. Ndayishimiye2047−19
DX. Mandza Tsiendi17130
MJ. Clauss1961−15
MH. Boudaoui1995−5
MA. Witsel1811−11
MN. Nkounkou2038−6
MG. Hein1792−2
MM. Amoura2029−6
FE. Wahi2015−15
CO. Pantaloni2015−10
Before kick-off: 54% · 25% · 20%(Lyon · draw · Nice)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Lyon €8.8M, Nice €5.2M.
  • Lyon were without 1 expected starter: L. Openda (2163).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Lyon

5th in Ligue 1 · 11 pts from 6

  • 15 OctWCrystal Palace 2121
  • 9 OctLLens 2146
  • 19 SepWRennes 2110
  • 16 SepWAnderlecht 2040
  • 12 SepDParis FC 2104

Nice

11th in Ligue 1 · 8 pts from 6

  • 11 OctWStrasbourg 1906
  • 20 SepWLille 1868
  • 12 SepLAuxerre 1877
  • 5 SepDLe Mans 1915
  • 30 AugLParis FC 1890

Season outlook

From the Ligue 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Lyon11 /657.0<1%45%0%4th
Nice8 /641.50%1%6%11th
Lyon
Nice

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ligue 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Niakhaté
M. Niakhaté

Lyon · +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2222

J. Clauss
J. Clauss

Nice · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1976

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca

Coach DNA: possession-based

Olivier Pantaloni

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Lyon: possession-based (how Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca plays) · Nice: balanced profile (how Olivier Pantaloni plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.