Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Lyon vs Angers
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Groupama Stadium, Lyon
Lyon host Angers on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lyon 66%, draw 20%, Angers 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lyon €11.8M, Angers €3.1M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Ligue 1): Lyon rank #3 of 18, Angers #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lyon goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.8 pts
Team Elo: Lyon 2118 · Angers 1813
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lyon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2231
Angers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1839
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lyon
1st in Ligue 1 · 14 pts from 7
- 18 OctWNice Ligue 12075
- 15 OctWCrystal Palace UEFA Europa League2121
- 9 OctLLens Ligue 12146
- 19 SepWRennes Ligue 12110
- 16 SepWAnderlecht UEFA Europa League2040
Angers
15th in Ligue 1 · 7 pts from 7
- 18 OctLMarseille Ligue 11839
- 10 OctLStade Brestois 29 Ligue 11821
- 19 SepWEstac Troyes Ligue 11848
- 12 SepDLe Havre Ligue 11846
- 6 SepLRennes Ligue 11877
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 14 /7 | 59.3 | 1% | 55% | 0% | 2nd |
| Angers | 7 /7 | 33.1 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lyon: possession-based (how Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca plays) · Angers: low-volume (how Stéphane Gilli plays)