Superliga · Regular Season - 11
Lyngby 3–3 FC Nordsjaelland
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Lyngby Stadion, Lingbi
LyngbyTeam 1562
FC NordsjaellandTeam 1910Match story
Lyngby · draw · FC NordsjaellandBefore kick-off: 18% · 24% · 59%
Last reading, 90+11': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Simon Colyn 17'
- Gustav Leone Fraulo 32'
- Frederik Gytkjær 61'
- Justin Janssen 71'
- Runar Robinsonn Norheim 74'
- Malte Heyde 77'
We gave FC Nordsjaelland 59% to win: it ended in a draw.
- David Helgi Aronsson 1284 +16 for Munashe Garananga 1796 07'
Lyngby:David Helgi Aronsson 1284 +16 for Munashe Garananga 1796 0 - Simon Colyn 1679 +10* assist Frederik Gytkjær 1421 +2717'
Lyngby:Simon Colyn 1679 +10* assist Frederik Gytkjær 1421 +27 - Gustav Leone Fraulo 1624 +2132'
Lyngby:Gustav Leone Fraulo 1624 +21 - 38'Tobias Salquist 1936 −4
FC Nordsjaelland:Tobias Salquist 1936 −4 - 45'Hjalte Rasmussen 1469 0 for Villum Berthelsen 1725 0
FC Nordsjaelland:Hjalte Rasmussen 1469 0 for Villum Berthelsen 1725 0 - 45'Malte Heyde 1592 −8* for Mark Brink 1880 −2
FC Nordsjaelland:Malte Heyde 1592 −8* for Mark Brink 1880 −2 - 45'Justin Janssen 1903 −1 for Tobias Salquist 1936 −4
FC Nordsjaelland:Justin Janssen 1903 −1 for Tobias Salquist 1936 −4 - 45+2'Villum Berthelsen 1725 0
FC Nordsjaelland:Villum Berthelsen 1725 0 - 48'Prince Amoako Junior 1889 0
FC Nordsjaelland:Prince Amoako Junior 1889 0 - Frederik Gytkjær 1421 +27 assist Simon Colyn 1679 +10*61'
Lyngby:Frederik Gytkjær 1421 +27 assist Simon Colyn 1679 +10* - 62'Ibrahim Adel 1895 −1 for Prince Amoako Junior 1889 0
FC Nordsjaelland:Ibrahim Adel 1895 −1 for Prince Amoako Junior 1889 0 - Daniel Kristjansson 1561 +3 for Renzo Tytens 1589 +663'
Lyngby:Daniel Kristjansson 1561 +3 for Renzo Tytens 1589 +6 - Cornelius Allen 1533 −5* for Oskar Buur 1674 +463'
Lyngby:Cornelius Allen 1533 −5* for Oskar Buur 1674 +4 - 71'Justin Janssen 1903 −1 assist Runar Robinsonn Norheim 1906 −3
FC Nordsjaelland:Justin Janssen 1903 −1 assist Runar Robinsonn Norheim 1906 −3 - 74'Runar Robinsonn Norheim 1906 −3 assist Nicklas Rojkjaer 1879 −2
FC Nordsjaelland:Runar Robinsonn Norheim 1906 −3 assist Nicklas Rojkjaer 1879 −2 - 77'Malte Heyde 1592 −8* assist Runar Robinsonn Norheim 1906 −3
FC Nordsjaelland:Malte Heyde 1592 −8* assist Runar Robinsonn Norheim 1906 −3 - 80'Noah Markmann 1865 0
FC Nordsjaelland:Noah Markmann 1865 0 - Isak Thorvaldsson 1705 +680'
Lyngby:Isak Thorvaldsson 1705 +6 - Mathias Hebo Rasmussen 1432 −2 for Jens Thomasen 1519 +781'
Lyngby:Mathias Hebo Rasmussen 1432 −2 for Jens Thomasen 1519 +7 - Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji 1569 +1 for Frederik Gytkjær 1421 +2781'
Lyngby:Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji 1569 +1 for Frederik Gytkjær 1421 +27 - Gustav Leone Fraulo 1624 +2181'
Lyngby:Gustav Leone Fraulo 1624 +21 - 90+5'Juho Lähteenmäki 2026 −3
FC Nordsjaelland:Juho Lähteenmäki 2026 −3 - 90+7'Alexander Lind 1884 −1
FC Nordsjaelland:Alexander Lind 1884 −1 - Diego Kochen 1810 +490+7'
Lyngby:Diego Kochen 1810 +4 - 90+10'Nicklas Rojkjaer 1879 −2 (penalty missed)
FC Nordsjaelland:Nicklas Rojkjaer 1879 −2 (penalty missed)
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 18% · 24% · 59%(Lyngby · draw · FC Nordsjaelland)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–3 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Lyngby €535K, FC Nordsjaelland €2.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Superliga matchday 11: 271 points.
- Style contrast in attacking (Superliga): Lyngby ranked #11 of 11, FC Nordsjaelland #1.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lyngby
11th in Superliga · 7 pts from 10
- 11 OctLBrondby Denmark Superliga1595
- 18 SepLSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1642
- 13 SepDSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1648
- 4 SepWViborg Denmark Superliga1587
- 30 AugDOdense Denmark Superliga1606
FC Nordsjaelland
4th in Superliga · 18 pts from 10
- 15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian UEFA Conference League1915
- 9 OctDOdense Denmark Superliga1830
- 20 SepLViborg Denmark Superliga1888
- 13 SepWAarhus Denmark Superliga1914
- 7 SepDFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1890
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyngby | 7 /10 | 19.4 | 0% | 0% | 75% | 12th |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 18 /10 | 38.6 | 5% | 86% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Lyngby · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1565

FC Nordsjaelland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1939
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lyngby: low-volume · direct (how Dan Brimsvík plays) · FC Nordsjaelland: possession-based (how Jens Fønsskov Olsen plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.