League One · Regular Season - 9
Luton vs Doncaster
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Kenilworth Road, Luton
Luton vs Doncaster (League One) has been postponed.
- Average value of the expected XI: Luton €606K, Doncaster €427K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Luton goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Luton 1868 · Doncaster 1725
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Luton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1895
Doncaster · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1746
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Luton
13th in League One · 14 pts from 10
- 20 OctWBarnsley England League One1813
- 17 OctLMilton Keynes Dons England League One1824
- 10 OctWWycombe England League One1783
- 3 OctDColchester England EFL Trophy1729
- 22 SepWIpswich Town U21 England EFL Trophy1767
Doncaster
19th in League One · 9 pts from 10
- 20 OctLStockport County England League One1737
- 17 OctLLeicester England League One1742
- 10 OctWBurton Albion England League One1723
- 6 OctWLiverpool U21 England EFL Trophy1714
- 19 SepWPeterborough England League One1706
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 14 /10 | 67.7 | 4% | 22% | <1% | 7th |
| Doncaster | 9 /10 | 51.4 | 0% | <1% | 27% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Luton: balanced profile (how J. Wilshere plays) · Doncaster: balanced profile (how G. McCann plays)