First League · Regular Season - 13
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Ludogorets host CSKA 1948 on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ludogorets 51%, draw 26%, CSKA 1948 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ludogorets €1.1M, CSKA 1948 €683K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of First League matchday 13: 121 points.
- Ludogorets are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ludogorets goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Ludogorets 1783 · CSKA 1948 1662
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ludogorets · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1876
CSKA 1948 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1843
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ludogorets
3rd in First League · 26 pts from 10
- 12 OctWArda Kardzhali Bulgarian First League1801
- 14 SepWSeptemvri Sofia Bulgarian First League1783
- 6 SepWLokomotiv Sofia Bulgarian First League1756
- 30 AugDSpartak Varna Bulgarian First League1760
- 22 AugDSlavia Sofia Bulgarian First League1763
CSKA 1948
4th in First League · 22 pts from 11
- 11 OctLCSKA Sofia Bulgarian First League1642
- 18 SepWSlavia Sofia Bulgarian First League1678
- 12 SepWDunav Ruse Bulgarian First League1629
- 5 SepLLevski Sofia Bulgarian First League1640
- 28 AugWLokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1559
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 26 /10 | 55.1 | 24% | 99% | 0% | 3rd |
| CSKA 1948 | 22 /11 | 47.2 | 1% | 77% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ludogorets: possession-based · creative (how Igor Jovičević plays) · CSKA 1948: balanced profile (how Aleksandar Aleksandrov plays)