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First League · Regular Season - 11

Ludogorets 5–0 Arda Kardzhali

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad

Ludogorets crestLudogoretsTeam 1773
5–0
Full time
HT 3–0
Arda Kardzhali crestArda KardzhaliTeam 1505

Match story

Ludogorets · draw · Arda Kardzhali

Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%

Live chances: Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0% at 90+3'3' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 63%, draw 23%, Arda Kardzhali 15%4' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 62%, draw 23%, Arda Kardzhali 15%5' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 62%, draw 23%, Arda Kardzhali 15%7' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 62%, draw 23%, Arda Kardzhali 15%8' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 62%, draw 23%, Arda Kardzhali 15%10' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 61%, draw 24%, Arda Kardzhali 15%11' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 61%, draw 24%, Arda Kardzhali 15%13' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 60%, draw 24%, Arda Kardzhali 15%14' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 60%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 15%15' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 60%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 15%16' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 60%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 15%18' · 0–0 · Ludogorets 59%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 16%19' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 12%, Arda Kardzhali 4%20' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 12%, Arda Kardzhali 4%21' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 12%, Arda Kardzhali 4%22' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 12%, Arda Kardzhali 4%24' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 13%, Arda Kardzhali 4%25' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 13%, Arda Kardzhali 4%27' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 13%, Arda Kardzhali 4%28' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 13%, Arda Kardzhali 4%30' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 13%, Arda Kardzhali 4%31' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 13%, Arda Kardzhali 4%32' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 83%, draw 13%, Arda Kardzhali 4%33' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%34' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%35' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%36' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%37' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%38' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%40' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%41' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%42' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%43' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%44' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 92%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%45' · 1–0 · Ludogorets 91%, draw 7%, Arda Kardzhali 1%45' · 2–0 · Ludogorets 99%, draw 1%, Arda Kardzhali 0%45+1' · 2–0 · Ludogorets 99%, draw 1%, Arda Kardzhali 0%45+2' · 2–0 · Ludogorets 99%, draw 1%, Arda Kardzhali 0%45+4' · 2–0 · Ludogorets 99%, draw 1%, Arda Kardzhali 0%45+5' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%45+6' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%HT · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%47' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%48' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%49' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%50' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%51' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%52' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%53' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%54' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%55' · 3–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%56' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%57' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%58' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%59' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%60' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%61' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%62' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%63' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%64' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%65' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%66' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%67' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%68' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%69' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%70' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%71' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%72' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%73' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%74' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%75' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%76' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%77' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%78' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%79' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%80' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%81' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%82' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%83' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%84' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%85' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%86' · 4–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%87' · 5–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%88' · 5–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%89' · 5–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%90' · 5–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%90+1' · 5–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%90+2' · 5–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%90+3' · 5–0 · Ludogorets 100%, draw 0%, Arda Kardzhali 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Ludogorets 63% to win: they did.

  1. 18'Ludogorets:Caio Vidal Rocha 1815 +6* assist Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz 1855 +4*
  2. 21'Ludogorets:Hossam Abdelmaguid 1812 +6*
  3. 30'Arda Kardzhali:Georgi Nikolaev Nikolov 1425 −8*
  4. 41'Ludogorets:Caio Vidal Rocha 1815 +6*
  5. 44'Ludogorets:Bernard Tekpetey 1800 +5* assist Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz 1855 +4*
  6. 45+3'Arda Kardzhali:Vyacheslav Velev 1566 −11*
  7. 45+4'Ludogorets:Bernard Tekpetey 1800 +5*
  8. 46'Ludogorets:Amir Hadžiahmetović 1967 for Deroy Duarte 1876 +2*
  9. 46'Ludogorets:Aguibou Camara 1825 for petar stanic 1816 +6*
  10. 56'Ludogorets:Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo 1787 for Bernard Tekpetey 1800 +5*
  11. 56'Ludogorets:Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz 1855 +4*
  12. 57'Arda Kardzhali:Preslav·Bachev 1347 for Antonio Vutov 1450 −10*
  13. 63'Arda Kardzhali:Atanas Kabov 1443 for Svetoslav Kovachev 1525 −9*
  14. 63'Arda Kardzhali:Birsent Karagaren 1473 for Stanislav Ivanov 1606 −6
  15. 68'Arda Kardzhali:Viktor Lyubenov 1415 −8*
  16. 68'Ludogorets:Nathan Fernandes 1664 for Caio Vidal Rocha 1815 +6*
  17. 78'Ludogorets:Ivajlo Čočev 1683 for Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz 1855 +4*
  18. 79'Arda Kardzhali:Derick Fernando da Silva for Viktor Lyubenov 1415 −8*
  19. 86'Ludogorets:Ivan Zhelizko 1736 +11*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

GA. Gospodinov1563−12*
FS. Ivanov1606−6
ML. Kotev1552−11*
FS. Kovachev1525−9*
DV. Lyubenov1415−8*
FG. Nikolov1425−8*
DM. Paskalev1465−8*
DV. Popov1658−18*
DV. Velev1566−11*
DD. Velkovski1455−3
MA. Vutov1450−10*
CA. Tunchev1546−9*
Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%(Ludogorets · draw · Arda Kardzhali)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 5–0 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Ludogorets €1.3M, Arda Kardzhali €352K.
  • Ludogorets were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Ludogorets

3rd in First League · 23 pts from 9

  • 14 SepWSeptemvri Sofia 1783
  • 6 SepWLokomotiv Sofia 1756
  • 30 AugDSpartak Varna 1760
  • 22 AugDSlavia Sofia 1763
  • 15 AugWBotev Plovdiv 1735

Arda Kardzhali

6th in First League · 17 pts from 10

  • 19 SepDCherno More Varna 1527
  • 12 SepLCSKA Sofia 1533
  • 4 SepLBotev Plovdiv 1535
  • 31 AugWBotev Vratsa 1512
  • 24 AugWLokomotiv Plovdiv 1488

Season outlook

From the First League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Ludogorets23 /954.018%97%0%3rd
Arda Kardzhali17 /1038.20%7%<1%6th
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: First League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Hossam Abdelmaguid
Hossam Abdelmaguid

Ludogorets · +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1806

D. Velkovski
D. Velkovski

Arda Kardzhali · +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1458

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Thomas Reis

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Aleksandar Blagov Tunchev

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Ludogorets: possession-based · creative (how Thomas Reis plays) · Arda Kardzhali: balanced profile (how Aleksandar Blagov Tunchev plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.