Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
Los Angeles Galaxy 2–2 San Diego
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles
Los Angeles GalaxyTeam 1900San DiegoTeam 1892- Klauss 4'
- Erik Thommy 17'
- Anders Dreyer 10' (pen)
- Gabriel Pirani 39'
We gave Los Angeles Galaxy 45% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Klauss assist Sergi Roberto –4'Los Angeles Galaxy:Klauss assist Sergi Roberto –
- 10'Anders Dreyer – (pen.)San Diego:Anders Dreyer – (pen.)
- Erik Thommy – assist Harbor Miller –17'Los Angeles Galaxy:Erik Thommy – assist Harbor Miller –
- 35'Aníbal Godoy –San Diego:Aníbal Godoy –
- 39'Gabriel Pirani –San Diego:Gabriel Pirani –
- Klauss45+1'Los Angeles Galaxy:Klauss
- Joseph Paintsil – for Robert Taylor –66'Los Angeles Galaxy:Joseph Paintsil – for Robert Taylor –
- Jakob Glesnes – for Carlos Emiro Garces Torres –66'Los Angeles Galaxy:Jakob Glesnes – for Carlos Emiro Garces Torres –
- 66'Jeppe Tverskov – for Alejandro Alvarado Jr –San Diego:Jeppe Tverskov – for Alejandro Alvarado Jr –
- 66'Marcus Ingvartsen – for Cédric Bakambu –San Diego:Marcus Ingvartsen – for Cédric Bakambu –
- Lucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole – for Sergi Roberto –73'Los Angeles Galaxy:Lucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole – for Sergi Roberto –
- 78'Onni Valakari – for Gabriel Pirani –San Diego:Onni Valakari – for Gabriel Pirani –
- Lucas Felipe·Calegari – for Harbor Miller –81'Los Angeles Galaxy:Lucas Felipe·Calegari – for Harbor Miller –
- 83'Dagur Dan Þórhallsson – for kieran sargeant –San Diego:Dagur Dan Þórhallsson – for kieran sargeant –
- 83'Amahl Pellegrino – for Elias Achouri –San Diego:Amahl Pellegrino – for Elias Achouri –
- Marco Reus –90+3'Los Angeles Galaxy:Marco Reus –
Before kick-off (provisional): 45% · 28% · 27%(Los Angeles Galaxy · draw · San Diego)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Los Angeles Galaxy €1.6M, San Diego €2.8M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Los Angeles Galaxy
8th in MLS · 39 pts from 30
- 15 OctWPortland Timbers MLS1899
- 11 OctLSt. Louis City MLS1888
- 27 SepWColorado Rapids MLS1903
- 20 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1899
- 13 SepDSeattle Sounders MLS1900
San Diego
12th in MLS · 33 pts from 29
- 15 OctDHouston Dynamo MLS1900
- 10 OctLNew York Red Bulls MLS1904
- 27 SepDAustin MLS1893
- 14 SepLPhiladelphia Union MLS1890
- 10 SepLSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1971
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 39 /30 | 44.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
| San Diego | 33 /29 | 39.4 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Los Angeles Galaxy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1964
San Diego · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1967
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Los Angeles Galaxy: possession-based (how Gregory Dean Vanney plays) · San Diego: possession-based (how Michael Anthony Varas plays)