Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Los Angeles Galaxy 2–0 Portland Timbers
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles
Los Angeles GalaxyTeam 1890Portland TimbersTeam 1821- Marco Reus 17'
- Justin Haak 80'
We gave Los Angeles Galaxy 50% to win: they did.
- Marco Reus – assist Robert Taylor –17'Los Angeles Galaxy:Marco Reus – assist Robert Taylor –
- Pablo Ruiz –29'Los Angeles Galaxy:Pablo Ruiz –
- Sergi Roberto –31'Los Angeles Galaxy:Sergi Roberto –
- 38'Jímer Fory –Portland Timbers:Jímer Fory –
- Justin Haak –47'Los Angeles Galaxy:Justin Haak –
- 62'Kristoffer Velde –Portland Timbers:Kristoffer Velde –
- 63'Ian Smith – for Jímer Fory –Portland Timbers:Ian Smith – for Jímer Fory –
- Lucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole – for Sergi Roberto –72'Los Angeles Galaxy:Lucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole – for Sergi Roberto –
- Erik Thommy – for Robert Taylor –72'Los Angeles Galaxy:Erik Thommy – for Robert Taylor –
- Harbor Miller – for Joseph Paintsil –72'Los Angeles Galaxy:Harbor Miller – for Joseph Paintsil –
- 74'Alexander Aravena – for Vincent Janssen –Portland Timbers:Alexander Aravena – for Vincent Janssen –
- 74'Eric Izoita – for Jose Caicedo –Portland Timbers:Eric Izoita – for Jose Caicedo –
- Justin Haak – assist Marco Reus –80'Los Angeles Galaxy:Justin Haak – assist Marco Reus –
- 81'Omir Fernandez – for Ariel Lassiter –Portland Timbers:Omir Fernandez – for Ariel Lassiter –
- 81'Diego Chará – for Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri –Portland Timbers:Diego Chará – for Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri –
- 82'David Da Costa –Portland Timbers:David Da Costa –
- Elijah Wynder – for Marco Reus –82'Los Angeles Galaxy:Elijah Wynder – for Marco Reus –
- Maya Yoshida – for Carlos Emiro Garces Torres –86'Los Angeles Galaxy:Maya Yoshida – for Carlos Emiro Garces Torres –
Before kick-off (provisional): 50% · 27% · 23%(Los Angeles Galaxy · draw · Portland Timbers)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Los Angeles Galaxy €1.5M, Portland Timbers €1.6M.
- Los Angeles Galaxy were without 1 expected starter: K. Furuhashi (1945).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Los Angeles Galaxy
9th in MLS · 36 pts from 29
- 11 OctLSt. Louis City MLS1888
- 27 SepWColorado Rapids MLS1903
- 20 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1899
- 13 SepDSeattle Sounders MLS1900
- 10 SepLVancouver Whitecaps MLS1873
Portland Timbers
10th in MLS · 33 pts from 28
- 11 OctDSporting Kansas City MLS1841
- 27 SepLSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1831
- 20 SepLAtlanta United FC MLS1870
- 13 SepLFC Dallas MLS1852
- 10 SepDSt. Louis City MLS1882
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 36 /29 | 43.4 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 17th |
| Portland Timbers | 33 /28 | 39.9 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Los Angeles Galaxy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1952
Portland Timbers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1919
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Los Angeles Galaxy: possession-based (how Gregory Dean Vanney plays) · Portland Timbers: balanced profile (how Martí Cifuentes Corvillo Bajare plays)