Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Dignity Health Sports Park
Los Angeles Galaxy host Austin on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Los Angeles Galaxy 49%, draw 27%, Austin 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Los Angeles Galaxy €1.5M, Austin €1.9M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Los Angeles Galaxy goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Los Angeles Galaxy 1892 · Austin 1844
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Los Angeles Galaxy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Average) · Elo 1962
Austin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Average) · Elo 1969
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Los Angeles Galaxy
8th in MLS · 40 pts from 31
- 18 OctDSan Diego MLS1905
- 15 OctWPortland Timbers MLS1899
- 11 OctLSt. Louis City MLS1888
- 27 SepWColorado Rapids MLS1903
- 20 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1899
Austin
14th in MLS · 31 pts from 30
- 18 OctLVancouver Whitecaps MLS1891
- 15 OctLLos Angeles FC MLS1921
- 11 OctLNashville SC MLS1878
- 27 SepDSan Diego MLS1875
- 20 SepDFC Dallas MLS1861
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 40 /31 | 44.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16th |
| Austin | 31 /30 | 36.6 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 28th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Los Angeles Galaxy: possession-based (how Gregory Dean Vanney plays) · Austin: low-volume (how Davy Arnaud plays)