Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Los Angeles FC 3–1 Austin
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · Banc of California Stadium, Los Angeles
Los Angeles FCTeam 2009
AustinTeam 1881Match story
Los Angeles FC · draw · AustinBefore kick-off: 57% · 22% · 20%
Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Denis Bouanga 52', 67'
- Son Heung-min 72'
- Brandon Vazquez 66'
We gave Los Angeles FC 57% to win: they did.
- Denis Bouanga 2073 +19 assist Son Heung-min 2036 +1752'
Los Angeles FC:Denis Bouanga 2073 +19 assist Son Heung-min 2036 +17 - Jacob Shaffelburg 1945 +10 for Armindo Sieb 1899 +1063'
Los Angeles FC:Jacob Shaffelburg 1945 +10 for Armindo Sieb 1899 +10 - Mathieu Choinière 2049 +2 for Igor Jesus 1990 +863'
Los Angeles FC:Mathieu Choinière 2049 +2 for Igor Jesus 1990 +8 - 63'Myrto Uzuni 1930 −3 for Oleksandr Svatok 1921 −12*
Austin:Myrto Uzuni 1930 −3 for Oleksandr Svatok 1921 −12* - 66'Brandon Vazquez 1958 −10 assist Myrto Uzuni 1930 −3
Austin:Brandon Vazquez 1958 −10 assist Myrto Uzuni 1930 −3 - Denis Bouanga 2073 +19 assist Son Heung-min 2036 +1767'
Los Angeles FC:Denis Bouanga 2073 +19 assist Son Heung-min 2036 +17 - Son Heung-min 2036 +17 assist Jacob Shaffelburg 1945 +1072'
Los Angeles FC:Son Heung-min 2036 +17 assist Jacob Shaffelburg 1945 +10 - 78'Jorge Alastuey 1352 0 for Besard Sabovic 1931 −3
Austin:Jorge Alastuey 1352 0 for Besard Sabovic 1931 −3 - Ryan Hollingshead 1959 −6 for Evgen Cheberko 2051 +2078'
Los Angeles FC:Ryan Hollingshead 1959 −6 for Evgen Cheberko 2051 +20 - Sergio Vasquez 1670 +3 for Son Heung-min 2036 +1778'
Los Angeles FC:Sergio Vasquez 1670 +3 for Son Heung-min 2036 +17 - 81'Ilie Sánchez 1786 −9 for Ervin Torres 1764 0
Austin:Ilie Sánchez 1786 −9 for Ervin Torres 1764 0 - 81'Przemyslaw Płacheta 1769 −1 for Facundo Daniel Torres Perez 2077 −9
Austin:Przemyslaw Płacheta 1769 −1 for Facundo Daniel Torres Perez 2077 −9 - Tyler Boyd 1614 −7* for Leo Walta 1902 +3985'
Los Angeles FC:Tyler Boyd 1614 −7* for Leo Walta 1902 +39
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 57% · 22% · 20%(Los Angeles FC · draw · Austin)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 3–1 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Los Angeles FC €3.1M, Austin €2.3M.
- Style contrast in attacking (MLS): Los Angeles FC ranked #1 of 30, Austin #30.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Los Angeles FC
6th in MLS · 42 pts from 29
- 11 OctDVancouver Whitecaps MLS1997
- 27 SepLFC Dallas MLS1983
- 19 SepDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS2044
- 13 SepLSporting Kansas City MLS2024
- 10 SepWNew York Red Bulls MLS1971
Austin
13th in MLS · 31 pts from 28
- 11 OctLNashville SC MLS1878
- 27 SepDSan Diego MLS1875
- 20 SepDFC Dallas MLS1861
- 13 SepWVancouver Whitecaps MLS1821
- 10 SepDColorado Rapids MLS1911
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 42 /29 | 50.0 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 12th |
| Austin | 31 /28 | 38.9 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 25th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Los Angeles FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1979

Austin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2085
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Los Angeles FC: dribble-heavy (how Marc Dos Santos plays) · Austin: low-volume (how Davy Arnaud plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.