Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Lorient host Stade Brestois 29 on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lorient 50%, draw 27%, Stade Brestois 29 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lorient €4.0M, Stade Brestois 29 €3.4M.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Ligue 1): Lorient rank #4 of 18, Stade Brestois 29 #15.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lorient goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Lorient 1935 · Stade Brestois 29 1835
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lorient · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1901
Stade Brestois 29 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1981
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lorient
7th in Ligue 1 · 11 pts from 7
- 18 OctWMonaco Ligue 11906
- 10 OctWParis FC Ligue 11905
- 19 SepLLe Mans Ligue 11896
- 12 SepDToulouse Ligue 11869
- 5 SepWLens Ligue 11831
Stade Brestois 29
10th in Ligue 1 · 9 pts from 7
- 17 OctDLille Ligue 11917
- 10 OctWAngers Ligue 11887
- 20 SepLAuxerre Ligue 11846
- 13 SepLParis Saint Germain Ligue 11849
- 5 SepWLe Havre Ligue 11863
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 11 /7 | 44.5 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 10th |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 9 /7 | 36.2 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lorient: balanced profile (how Alexandre Dujeux plays) · Stade Brestois 29: balanced profile (how Julien Lachuer plays)