Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11
Lorient vs Rennes
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Lorient host Rennes on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lorient 26%, draw 28%, Rennes 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lorient €4.3M, Rennes €9.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lorient goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 0–19%
- 0–28%
- 0–07%
- 2–17%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Lorient 1908 · Rennes 2113
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lorient · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1884
Rennes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2101
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lorient
10th in Ligue 1 · 15 pts from 10
- 8 NovWLe Havre Ligue 11898
- 2 NovLStade Brestois 29 Ligue 11929
- 25 OctDAngers Ligue 11929
- 18 OctWMonaco Ligue 11899
- 10 OctWParis FC Ligue 11904
Rennes
8th in Ligue 1 · 16 pts from 10
- 8 NovLLille Ligue 12059
- 4 NovDOlympiakos Piraeus UEFA Europa League2104
- 30 OctLNice Ligue 12158
- 25 OctWStrasbourg Ligue 12165
- 22 OctDJuventus UEFA Europa League2120
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 15 /10 | 41.4 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 11th |
| Rennes | 16 /10 | 56.6 | 0% | 37% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lorient: balanced profile (how Alexandre Dujeux plays) · Rennes: balanced profile (how Franck Haise plays)