NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Lorient 1–0 Paris FC

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Lorient crestLorientTeam 1897
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Paris FC crestParis FCTeam 2081

Match story

Lorient · draw · Paris FC

Before kick-off: 28% · 29% · 44%

Live chances: Lorient 99%, draw 1%, Paris FC 0% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 29%, Paris FC 44%3' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 29%, Paris FC 44%4' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 29%, Paris FC 44%5' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 29%, Paris FC 43%6' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 29%, Paris FC 43%7' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 29%, Paris FC 43%8' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 30%, Paris FC 43%9' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 30%, Paris FC 43%10' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 30%, Paris FC 43%11' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 30%, Paris FC 43%12' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 30%, Paris FC 42%13' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 30%, Paris FC 42%14' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 31%, Paris FC 42%15' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 31%, Paris FC 42%16' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 31%, Paris FC 42%17' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 31%, Paris FC 42%18' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 31%, Paris FC 42%19' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 32%, Paris FC 41%20' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 32%, Paris FC 41%21' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 32%, Paris FC 41%22' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 32%, Paris FC 41%24' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 33%, Paris FC 41%25' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 33%, Paris FC 40%26' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 33%, Paris FC 40%27' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 33%, Paris FC 40%28' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 33%, Paris FC 40%29' · 0–0 · Lorient 27%, draw 34%, Paris FC 40%31' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 34%, Paris FC 39%32' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 34%, Paris FC 39%33' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 35%, Paris FC 39%34' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 35%, Paris FC 39%35' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 35%, Paris FC 38%36' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 36%, Paris FC 38%37' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 36%, Paris FC 38%38' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 36%, Paris FC 38%39' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 37%, Paris FC 38%40' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 37%, Paris FC 37%41' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 37%, Paris FC 37%42' · 0–0 · Lorient 26%, draw 38%, Paris FC 37%43' · 0–0 · Lorient 25%, draw 38%, Paris FC 37%44' · 0–0 · Lorient 25%, draw 38%, Paris FC 36%45' · 0–0 · Lorient 25%, draw 39%, Paris FC 36%HT · 0–0 · Lorient 25%, draw 40%, Paris FC 35%46' · 0–0 · Lorient 25%, draw 40%, Paris FC 35%47' · 0–0 · Lorient 25%, draw 40%, Paris FC 35%48' · 0–0 · Lorient 25%, draw 41%, Paris FC 35%49' · 0–0 · Lorient 24%, draw 41%, Paris FC 34%50' · 0–0 · Lorient 24%, draw 42%, Paris FC 34%51' · 0–0 · Lorient 24%, draw 42%, Paris FC 34%52' · 0–0 · Lorient 24%, draw 43%, Paris FC 33%53' · 0–0 · Lorient 24%, draw 44%, Paris FC 33%54' · 0–0 · Lorient 23%, draw 44%, Paris FC 32%55' · 0–0 · Lorient 23%, draw 45%, Paris FC 32%56' · 0–0 · Lorient 23%, draw 46%, Paris FC 32%57' · 0–0 · Lorient 23%, draw 46%, Paris FC 31%58' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 47%, Paris FC 31%59' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 48%, Paris FC 30%60' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 48%, Paris FC 30%61' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 49%, Paris FC 29%62' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 50%, Paris FC 29%63' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 50%, Paris FC 28%64' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 51%, Paris FC 28%65' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 52%, Paris FC 27%66' · 0–0 · Lorient 20%, draw 53%, Paris FC 27%67' · 0–0 · Lorient 20%, draw 54%, Paris FC 26%68' · 0–0 · Lorient 20%, draw 54%, Paris FC 26%69' · 1–0 · Lorient 74%, draw 21%, Paris FC 5%70' · 1–0 · Lorient 75%, draw 21%, Paris FC 5%71' · 1–0 · Lorient 75%, draw 21%, Paris FC 4%72' · 1–0 · Lorient 76%, draw 20%, Paris FC 4%73' · 1–0 · Lorient 76%, draw 20%, Paris FC 4%74' · 1–0 · Lorient 77%, draw 19%, Paris FC 4%75' · 1–0 · Lorient 78%, draw 19%, Paris FC 3%76' · 1–0 · Lorient 78%, draw 19%, Paris FC 3%77' · 1–0 · Lorient 79%, draw 18%, Paris FC 3%78' · 1–0 · Lorient 80%, draw 18%, Paris FC 3%79' · 1–0 · Lorient 81%, draw 17%, Paris FC 2%80' · 1–0 · Lorient 81%, draw 16%, Paris FC 2%81' · 1–0 · Lorient 82%, draw 16%, Paris FC 2%82' · 1–0 · Lorient 83%, draw 15%, Paris FC 2%83' · 1–0 · Lorient 84%, draw 15%, Paris FC 2%84' · 1–0 · Lorient 85%, draw 14%, Paris FC 1%85' · 1–0 · Lorient 86%, draw 13%, Paris FC 1%86' · 1–0 · Lorient 87%, draw 12%, Paris FC 1%87' · 1–0 · Lorient 87%, draw 12%, Paris FC 1%88' · 1–0 · Lorient 89%, draw 11%, Paris FC 1%89' · 1–0 · Lorient 90%, draw 10%, Paris FC 1%90' · 1–0 · Lorient 91%, draw 9%, Paris FC 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Lorient 92%, draw 8%, Paris FC 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Lorient 93%, draw 6%, Paris FC 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Lorient 95%, draw 5%, Paris FC 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Lorient 96%, draw 4%, Paris FC 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Lorient 98%, draw 2%, Paris FC 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Lorient 99%, draw 1%, Paris FC 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Paris FC 44% to win: Lorient won.

  1. 52'Paris FC:Lassine Sinayoko 2146 −9*
  2. 58'Paris FC:Samir Chergui 1990 −8*
  3. 58'Paris FC:Hamari Traore 1981 −14*
  4. 65'Paris FC:Rudy Matondo 1853 −8* for Adama Camara 2119 −10*
  5. 65'Paris FC:Patrick Zabi 1752 −8* for Ilan Kebbal 2097 −9*
  6. 66'Paris FC:Otavio 2149 −8* for Samir Chergui 1990 −8*
  7. 66'Lorient:Ibrahima Balde 1885 −3* for Mamadou Kone 1586 +21*
  8. 66'Lorient:Gabin Bernardeau 1316 +35* for Isak Jensen 2029 0*
  9. 68'Lorient:Gabin Bernardeau 1316 +35* assist Jean-Victor Makengo 2006 +27*
  10. 70'Lorient:Montassar Talbi 2037 +22*
  11. 74'Paris FC:Patrick Zabi 1752 −8*
  12. 78'Paris FC:Omar Sissoko 1426 −8* for Pierre Lees Melou 2121 −13*
  13. 78'Lorient:Arthur Avom 1982 −3* for Alec Georgen 1761 +15*
  14. 86'Paris FC:Jean-Philippe Krasso 1894 −9* for Lassine Sinayoko 2146 −9*
  15. 87'Lorient:Nosa Edward Obaretin 1694 −5* for Isaak Touré 1944 +38*
  16. 90+2'Paris FC:Maxime López 2117 −9*
  17. 90+6'Lorient:A. Dujeux

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-2-3-1
GY. Mvogo2066+26
DD. Sylla1865+54*
DM. Talbi2037+22*
DN. Adjei2009+28*
MA. Georgen1761+15*
MN. Cadiou1959+8*
MS. Touré1944+38*
MK. Kouassi1987+6*
MI. Jensen20290*
MJ. Makengo2006+27*
FM. Kone1586+21*
CA. Dujeux1941+23*
GK. Trapp2075−12*
DA. Camara2119−10*
DS. Chergui1990−8*
DD. Coppola2211−25*
DH. Traoré1981−14*
MM. Lopez2117−9*
MP. Lees-Melou2121−13*
MI. Kebbal2097−9*
MP. Pagis2088−8*
ML. Koleosho2024−8*
FL. Sinayoko2146−9*
CL. Rosenior2310−32*
Before kick-off: 28% · 29% · 44%(Lorient · draw · Paris FC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Lorient €4.1M, Paris FC €5.6M.
  • Lorient were without 1 expected starter: P. Katseris (1953).
  • Paris FC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Lorient

13th in Ligue 1 · 5 pts from 5

  • 19 SepLLe Mans 1896
  • 12 SepDToulouse 1869
  • 5 SepWLens 1831
  • 29 AugLEstac Troyes 1853
  • 22 AugDNice 1857

Paris FC

3rd in Ligue 1 · 11 pts from 5

  • 19 SepWStrasbourg 2092
  • 12 SepDLyon 2086
  • 6 SepWMarseille 2051
  • 30 AugWNice 2054
  • 22 AugDEstac Troyes 2043

Season outlook

From the Ligue 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Lorient5 /537.00%<1%21%12th
Paris FC11 /556.7<1%39%0%5th
Lorient
Paris FC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ligue 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

I. Jensen
I. Jensen

Lorient · +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 2028

L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko

Paris FC · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2155

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alexandre Dujeux

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Liam James Rosenior

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Lorient: balanced profile (how Alexandre Dujeux plays) · Paris FC: possession-based (how Liam James Rosenior plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.