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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

Lorient 1–0 Monaco

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

Lorient crestLorientTeam 1889
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Monaco crestMonacoTeam 2171

Match story

Lorient · draw · Monaco

Before kick-off: 21% · 27% · 52%

Live chances: Lorient 97%, draw 3%, Monaco 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 27%, Monaco 52%2' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 27%, Monaco 51%3' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 27%, Monaco 51%4' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 27%, Monaco 51%5' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 28%, Monaco 51%6' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 28%, Monaco 51%7' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 28%, Monaco 51%8' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 28%, Monaco 51%9' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 28%, Monaco 50%10' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 28%, Monaco 50%11' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 28%, Monaco 50%12' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 28%, Monaco 50%13' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 29%, Monaco 50%14' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 29%, Monaco 50%15' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 29%, Monaco 49%16' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 29%, Monaco 49%17' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 29%, Monaco 49%18' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 29%, Monaco 49%19' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 30%, Monaco 49%20' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 30%, Monaco 48%21' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 30%, Monaco 48%22' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 30%, Monaco 48%23' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 30%, Monaco 48%24' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 31%, Monaco 48%25' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 31%, Monaco 47%26' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 31%, Monaco 47%27' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 31%, Monaco 47%28' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 31%, Monaco 47%29' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 31%, Monaco 47%30' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 32%, Monaco 46%31' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 32%, Monaco 46%32' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 32%, Monaco 46%33' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 32%, Monaco 46%34' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 33%, Monaco 45%35' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 33%, Monaco 45%36' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 33%, Monaco 45%37' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 33%, Monaco 45%38' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 34%, Monaco 44%39' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 34%, Monaco 44%40' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 34%, Monaco 44%41' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 35%, Monaco 44%42' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 35%, Monaco 43%43' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 35%, Monaco 43%44' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 36%, Monaco 43%45' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 36%, Monaco 43%45+1' · 0–0 · Lorient 22%, draw 36%, Monaco 42%HT · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 37%, Monaco 41%46' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 37%, Monaco 41%47' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 38%, Monaco 41%48' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 38%, Monaco 41%49' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 38%, Monaco 40%50' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 39%, Monaco 40%51' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 39%, Monaco 40%52' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 40%, Monaco 39%53' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 40%, Monaco 39%54' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 41%, Monaco 38%55' · 0–0 · Lorient 21%, draw 42%, Monaco 38%56' · 0–0 · Lorient 20%, draw 42%, Monaco 37%57' · 0–0 · Lorient 20%, draw 43%, Monaco 37%58' · 0–0 · Lorient 20%, draw 44%, Monaco 36%59' · 0–0 · Lorient 20%, draw 44%, Monaco 36%60' · 0–0 · Lorient 20%, draw 45%, Monaco 35%61' · 0–0 · Lorient 20%, draw 46%, Monaco 35%62' · 1–0 · Lorient 64%, draw 27%, Monaco 10%63' · 1–0 · Lorient 64%, draw 26%, Monaco 9%64' · 1–0 · Lorient 65%, draw 26%, Monaco 9%65' · 1–0 · Lorient 65%, draw 26%, Monaco 9%66' · 1–0 · Lorient 66%, draw 26%, Monaco 8%67' · 1–0 · Lorient 67%, draw 26%, Monaco 8%68' · 1–0 · Lorient 67%, draw 25%, Monaco 8%69' · 1–0 · Lorient 68%, draw 25%, Monaco 7%70' · 1–0 · Lorient 69%, draw 25%, Monaco 7%71' · 1–0 · Lorient 69%, draw 24%, Monaco 6%72' · 1–0 · Lorient 70%, draw 24%, Monaco 6%73' · 1–0 · Lorient 71%, draw 24%, Monaco 6%74' · 1–0 · Lorient 72%, draw 23%, Monaco 5%75' · 1–0 · Lorient 72%, draw 23%, Monaco 5%76' · 1–0 · Lorient 73%, draw 22%, Monaco 5%77' · 1–0 · Lorient 74%, draw 22%, Monaco 4%78' · 1–0 · Lorient 75%, draw 21%, Monaco 4%79' · 1–0 · Lorient 76%, draw 20%, Monaco 4%80' · 1–0 · Lorient 77%, draw 20%, Monaco 3%81' · 1–0 · Lorient 78%, draw 19%, Monaco 3%82' · 1–0 · Lorient 79%, draw 18%, Monaco 3%83' · 1–0 · Lorient 80%, draw 18%, Monaco 2%84' · 1–0 · Lorient 81%, draw 17%, Monaco 2%85' · 1–0 · Lorient 82%, draw 16%, Monaco 2%86' · 1–0 · Lorient 83%, draw 15%, Monaco 2%87' · 1–0 · Lorient 84%, draw 14%, Monaco 1%88' · 1–0 · Lorient 86%, draw 13%, Monaco 1%89' · 1–0 · Lorient 87%, draw 12%, Monaco 1%90' · 1–0 · Lorient 88%, draw 11%, Monaco 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Lorient 90%, draw 9%, Monaco 1%90+2' · 1–0 · Lorient 92%, draw 8%, Monaco 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Lorient 93%, draw 6%, Monaco 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Lorient 95%, draw 5%, Monaco 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Lorient 97%, draw 3%, Monaco 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Monaco 52% to win: Lorient won.

  1. 52'Monaco:Edan Diop 1890 0 for Takumi Minamino 2139 −4
  2. 57'Monaco:Mohammed Salisu 2141 −1
  3. 60'Monaco:Denis Zakaria 2259 −8
  4. 60'Monaco:Flavio Nazinho 2148 0
  5. 61'Lorient:Noah Cadiou 2001 +42 (pen.)
  6. 66'Monaco:Folarin Balogun 2185 −1 for Ansu Fati 2120 0
  7. 66'Monaco:Mathys Detourbet 1777 0 for Denis Zakaria 2259 −8
  8. 66'Monaco:Christian Mawissa 2116 0 for Mohammed Salisu 2141 −1
  9. 66'Lorient:Noah Cadiou 2001 +42
  10. 71'Lorient:Mamadou Kone 1595 +8 for Ibrahima Balde 1901 +16
  11. 75'Monaco:Mika Biereth 2140 −8* for Matthis Abline 1941 0
  12. 76'Lorient:Arsène Kouassi 2002 +15
  13. 79'Lorient:Souleymane Faye 1394 −1* for Gabin Bernardeau 1369 +53
  14. 80'Monaco:Christian Mawissa 2116 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-2-3-1
GY. Mvogo2092+26
DN. Adjei2044+35
DM. Talbi2068+30
DS. Touré1989+45
MD. Sylla1887+22
MN. Cadiou2001+42
MA. Avom2022+39
MK. Kouassi2002+15
MJ. Makengo2030+24
MG. Bernardeau1369+53
FI. Baldé1901+16
CA. Dujeux1972+31
GL. Hrádecký2260−13
DVanderson2230−16
DSadibou Sané20550
DM. Salisu2141−1
DFlávio Nazinho21480
ML. Camara2274−27
MD. Zakaria2259−8
MT. Minamino2139−4
MA. Golovin2219−7
MAnsu Fati21200
FM. Abline19410
CFilipe Luís2344−27
Before kick-off: 21% · 27% · 52%(Lorient · draw · Monaco)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 6%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Lorient €4.3M, Monaco €11.1M.
  • Monaco were without 1 expected starter: Paris Josua Brunner (2077).
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Ligue 1 matchday 7: 217 points.
  • Style contrast in discipline (Ligue 1): Lorient ranked #3 of 18, Monaco #16.
  • Monaco were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Lorient

10th in Ligue 1 · 8 pts from 6

  • 10 OctWParis FC 1905
  • 19 SepLLe Mans 1896
  • 12 SepDToulouse 1869
  • 5 SepWLens 1831
  • 29 AugLEstac Troyes 1853

Monaco

3rd in Ligue 1 · 14 pts from 6

  • 15 OctWCSKA Sofia 2103
  • 10 OctDToulouse 2127
  • 18 SepWLens 2130
  • 12 SepDStrasbourg 2135
  • 4 SepWParis Saint Germain 2109

Season outlook

From the Ligue 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Lorient8 /641.70%1%6%11th
Monaco14 /662.82%76%0%2nd
Lorient
Monaco

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ligue 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

I. Baldé
I. Baldé

Lorient · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1885

L. Camara
L. Camara

Monaco · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2300

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alexandre Dujeux

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Filipe Luís Kasmirski

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Lorient: balanced profile (how Alexandre Dujeux plays) · Monaco: balanced profile (how Filipe Luís Kasmirski plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.