Serie B · Regular Season - 38
Londrina vs Nautico Recife
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estadio do Cafe, Londrina
Londrina host Nautico Recife on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Londrina 39%, draw 29%, Nautico Recife 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Londrina €189K, Nautico Recife €232K.
- Home advantage makes Londrina the favourite here: it adds 11 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Londrina goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Londrina 1458 · Nautico Recife 1551
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Londrina · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1404
Nautico Recife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1606
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Londrina
18th in Serie B · 32 pts from 35
- 24 OctLCRB Brazil Serie B1419
- 20 OctWCuiaba Brazil Serie B1390
- 13 OctDAthletic Club Brazil Serie B1410
- 7 OctLAvai Brazil Serie B1420
- 2 OctLCriciuma Brazil Serie B1404
Nautico Recife
15th in Serie B · 43 pts from 35
- 26 OctLJuventude Brazil Serie B1586
- 19 OctDGoias Brazil Serie B1570
- 11 OctLVila Nova Brazil Serie B1504
- 8 OctLNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1563
- 3 OctDFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1560
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina | 32 /35 | 35.8 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 18th |
| Nautico Recife | 43 /35 | 47.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: low-volume · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Londrina: balanced profile (how Rogério Micale plays) · Nautico Recife: balanced profile (how Bruno Pivetti plays)