Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10
Lommel United vs Gent
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Lommel United host Gent on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lommel United 18%, draw 24%, Gent 58%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lommel United €965K, Gent €2.9M.
- Gent's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.9 over 180 days.
- Gent are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lommel United goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 0–36%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.3 pts
Team Elo: Lommel United 1665 · Gent 1993
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lommel United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.7 (Elite) · Elo 1744
Gent · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2154
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lommel United
10th in Pro League · 11 pts from 8
- 9 OctWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1618
- 19 SepDKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1684
- 12 SepLUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1714
- 4 SepLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1720
- 29 AugWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1701
Gent
1st in Pro League · 22 pts from 8
- 15 OctWAarhus UEFA Conference League2052
- 10 OctWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1994
- 18 SepWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League2003
- 13 SepDGenk Belgium Pro League1981
- 6 SepWCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1980
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United | 11 /8 | 37.7 | 0% | <1% | 18% | 13th |
| Gent | 22 /8 | 68.2 | 9% | 93% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lommel United: possession-based (how Lee David Johnson plays) · Gent: balanced profile (how Rik De Mil plays)