Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:45 UTC · RZD Arena, Moscow
Lokomotiv host Spartak Moscow on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lokomotiv 32%, draw 29%, Spartak Moscow 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lokomotiv €2.6M, Spartak Moscow €5.5M.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Premier Liga): Lokomotiv rank #13 of 15, Spartak Moscow #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lokomotiv goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Lokomotiv 1831 · Spartak Moscow 1986
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lokomotiv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1895
Spartak Moscow · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2070
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lokomotiv
12th in Premier Liga · 11 pts from 11
- 17 OctDFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1879
- 10 OctWFakel Russia Premier League1793
- 16 SepDKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League1814
- 12 SepLZenit Russia Premier League1815
- 6 SepWBaltika Russia Premier League1823
Spartak Moscow
3rd in Premier Liga · 23 pts from 11
- 18 OctWRubin Russia Premier League1963
- 10 OctDKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League2013
- 16 SepWFakel Russia Premier League1986
- 13 SepWFC Rostov Russia Premier League1992
- 6 SepLDynamo Russia Premier League2011
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 11 /11 | 39.2 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 6th |
| Spartak Moscow | 23 /11 | 57.4 | 9% | 84% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lokomotiv: balanced profile (how Mikhail Galaktionov plays) · Spartak Moscow: possession-based (how Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones plays)