Super League · Regular Season - 28
Lokomotiv vs Pakhtakor
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Lokomotiv Stadium, Tashkent
Lokomotiv host Pakhtakor on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lokomotiv 25%, draw 27%, Pakhtakor 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lokomotiv €123K, Pakhtakor €528K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Super League matchday 28: 232 points.
- Super League: K. Alijonov is the highest-rated defender (1786).
- A. Kozlov, O. Kucherenko, A. Šušnjar, O. Zoteev, T. Abdukholikov, S. Muhammadiyev, B. Tupliev, Mukhammadali Reimov, S. Mirzaev and A. Ismailov (Lokomotiv) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lokomotiv goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Lokomotiv 1402 · Pakhtakor 1634
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Pakhtakor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1671
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lokomotiv
7th in Super League · 40 pts from 26
- 7 AugWDinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan Super League1414
- 27 AprLOlmaliq Uzbekistan Super League1377
- 23 AprWNasaf Uzbekistan Super League1375
- 17 AprLNavbahor Uzbekistan Super League1356
- 12 AprWDinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan Super League1342
Pakhtakor
2nd in Super League · 56 pts from 26
- 2 NovLAl-Nassr AFC Champions League1627
- 26 OctLAl Quwa Al Jawiya AFC Champions League1610
- 12 OctDAl-Qadisiyah FC AFC Champions League1640
- 11 AugWAl Hussein AFC Champions League1634
- 1 AugDAndijan Uzbekistan Super League1613
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 40 /26 | 45.2 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7th |
| Pakhtakor | 56 /26 | 63.7 | 18% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –