Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Lokomotiv 3–3 FC Krasnodar
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · RZD Arena, Moscow
LokomotivTeam 1812FC KrasnodarTeam 1975- Joao Batxi 5'
- Lucas Olaza 86'
- Jhon Cordoba 90+1'
We gave FC Krasnodar 39% to win: it ended in a draw.
- César Montes 2047 −12'Lokomotiv:César Montes 2047 −1
- 5'Joao Batxi 2046 −2 assist Jhon Cordoba 1958 −5FC Krasnodar:Joao Batxi 2046 −2 assist Jhon Cordoba 1958 −5
- Gerzino Nyamsi 1849 −9*12'Lokomotiv:Gerzino Nyamsi 1849 −9*
- Nikolay Titkov 1942 +116'Lokomotiv:Nikolay Titkov 1942 +1
- Aleksandr Rudenko 1901 0 for Sergey Pinyaev 1862 058'Lokomotiv:Aleksandr Rudenko 1901 0 for Sergey Pinyaev 1862 0
- 61'Magomed Ozdoev 1818 −6 for Daniil Utkin 1706 −1FC Krasnodar:Magomed Ozdoev 1818 −6 for Daniil Utkin 1706 −1
- Aleksandr Kovalenko 1510 0 for Zelimkhan Bakaev 1792 −270'Lokomotiv:Aleksandr Kovalenko 1510 0 for Zelimkhan Bakaev 1792 −2
- Ilya Eremeev 1613 0 for Nikolay Titkov 1942 +170'Lokomotiv:Ilya Eremeev 1613 0 for Nikolay Titkov 1942 +1
- Aleksandr Rudenko 1901 0 assist Maksim Nenakhov 1850 071'Lokomotiv:Aleksandr Rudenko 1901 0 assist Maksim Nenakhov 1850 0
- 73'Valentin Paltsev 1702 0 for Ilya Vakhania 1961 0FC Krasnodar:Valentin Paltsev 1702 0 for Ilya Vakhania 1961 0
- 73'Juan Manuel Boselli 1766 0 for Christian 2114 0FC Krasnodar:Juan Manuel Boselli 1766 0 for Christian 2114 0
- Maksim Nenakhov 1850 077'Lokomotiv:Maksim Nenakhov 1850 0
- 77'Dmitriy Vorobyov 1915 −9* for Kevin Pina 2025 −10*FC Krasnodar:Dmitriy Vorobyov 1915 −9* for Kevin Pina 2025 −10*
- Aleksandr Kovalenko 1510 078'Lokomotiv:Aleksandr Kovalenko 1510 0
- 86'Lucas Olaza 2043 −4 assist Joao Batxi 2046 −2FC Krasnodar:Lucas Olaza 2043 −4 assist Joao Batxi 2046 −2
- Danila Godyaev 1455 0 for Andrey Mostovoy 1979 −9*88'Lokomotiv:Danila Godyaev 1455 0 for Andrey Mostovoy 1979 −9*
- 90+1'Jhon Cordoba 1958 −5 assist Joao Batxi 2046 −2FC Krasnodar:Jhon Cordoba 1958 −5 assist Joao Batxi 2046 −2
- 90+4'Joao Batxi 2046 −2FC Krasnodar:Joao Batxi 2046 −2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%(Lokomotiv · draw · FC Krasnodar)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–3 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Lokomotiv €2.5M, FC Krasnodar €4.5M.
- FC Krasnodar were without 1 expected starter: Vítor Tormena (2080).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Premier Liga): Lokomotiv ranked #13 of 15, FC Krasnodar #4.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lokomotiv
13th in Premier Liga · 10 pts from 10
- 10 OctWFakel Russia Premier League1793
- 16 SepDKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League1814
- 12 SepLZenit Russia Premier League1815
- 6 SepWBaltika Russia Premier League1823
- 29 AugLDynamo Russia Premier League1751
FC Krasnodar
4th in Premier Liga · 21 pts from 10
- 10 OctLZenit Russia Premier League2002
- 17 SepDFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1994
- 13 SepDAkron Russia Premier League2047
- 5 SepDKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League2067
- 29 AugWFC Rostov Russia Premier League2030
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 10 /10 | 39.7 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 6th |
| FC Krasnodar | 21 /10 | 56.5 | 9% | 78% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lokomotiv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2049
FC Krasnodar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2047
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lokomotiv: balanced profile (how Mikhail Galaktionov plays) · FC Krasnodar: balanced profile (how Murad Musaev plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.