First League · Regular Season - 12
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia host Botev Vratsa on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lokomotiv Sofia 40%, draw 29%, Botev Vratsa 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lokomotiv Sofia €233K, Botev Vratsa €254K.
- Home advantage makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lokomotiv Sofia goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Lokomotiv Sofia 1377 · Botev Vratsa 1391
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lokomotiv Sofia
12th in First League · 8 pts from 11
- 10 OctDLokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1385
- 20 SepWSpartak Varna Bulgarian First League1379
- 16 SepLCSKA Sofia Bulgarian First League1371
- 11 SepDCherno More Varna Bulgarian First League1430
- 6 SepLLudogorets Bulgarian First League1382
Botev Vratsa
9th in First League · 9 pts from 11
- 10 OctLSpartak Varna Bulgarian First League1418
- 19 SepDDunav Ruse Bulgarian First League1416
- 13 SepDLevski Sofia Bulgarian First League1406
- 4 SepWSeptemvri Sofia Bulgarian First League1408
- 31 AugLArda Kardzhali Bulgarian First League1409
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 8 /11 | 25.0 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 11th |
| Botev Vratsa | 9 /11 | 26.4 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lokomotiv Sofia: direct (how Lyuboslav Mladenov Penev plays) · Botev Vratsa: direct · low-volume (how Todor Simov plays)